Garuda Lions
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Svenska Cupen · Full time ·Final

Falu BS vs IF Brommapojkarna

2 – 1 Full time

Falu BS 11%
Draw 17%
IF Brommapojkarna 72%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Falu BS vs IF Brommapojkarna overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Falu BS vs IF Brommapojkarna

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFalu BSDrawIF Brommapojkarna
Model20.2%26.9%52.9%
Market8.2%13.6%78.2%
Final11.2%17.0%71.9%
Edge+12.0%+13.3%-25.3%

Confidence: Low

Why IF Brommapojkarna

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Falu BS ↓ / IF Brommapojka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 10% 1 13% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Falu BS and IF Brommapojkarna expected goals

Falu BS 0.93
IF Brommapojkarna 1.64

Total expected goals: 2.58

Falu BS and IF Brommapojkarna attack and defence ratings

Falu BS

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.83 -17%

IF Brommapojkarna

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Falu BS vs IF Brommapojkarna: result vs prediction

Falu BS 2 – 1 IF Brommapojkarna

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Final fixtures

Svenska Cupen

Before and after this match

Falu BS vs IF Brommapojkarna markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IF Brommapojkarna 71.9% 1.39 -25.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.1% 1.99 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 88.8% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.1% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Falu BS11.2%
Draw17.0%
IF Brommapojkarna71.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.1%
No49.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)28.1%
12 (either side)83.0%
X2 (draw or away)88.8%
Handicap -1IF Brommapojkarna win29.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss47.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
0-111.3%
0-210.3%

Falu BS vs IF Brommapojkarna stats

Falu BS and IF Brommapojkarna recent form

newest first
Falu BS D
IF Brommapojkarna WWDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Falu BS vs IF Brommapojkarna head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Falu BS vs IF Brommapojkarna odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 8.2%, draw 13.6%, away 78.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 13.00 6.20 1.15
1xBet 14.20 6.55 1.13
Bet365 10.00 7.00 1.18
BetVictor 10.00 5.50 1.09
Betano 10.50 6.20 1.20
Betfair 14.00 7.50 1.10
Dafabet 11.00 7.20 1.19
Marathonbet 16.50 6.90 1.11
Pinnacle 11.30 6.86 1.12
Superbet 9.30 6.80 1.18
Unibet 9.00 6.25 1.19
William Hill 13.00 5.80 1.18

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.