Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

34matches today 0high confidence 4positive edges 2strong edges updated 2026-11-12T08:10:01Z UTC · kickoffs in your local time

Today, we cover 34 fixtures across 11 competitions, with our model providing a published pick for each match. The widest-edge match is Armenia vs Cyprus, where we publish Cyprus at 41% compared to the market's 33%, resulting in an edge of +7.1 percentage points. Additionally, there are four value picks identified, including two strong edges of 4 percentage points or more. Probabilities are derived from xG-based team ratings blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds.

First kick-offs: 13:00 Kigezi HomeBoyz v Vipers 15:00 Ghana v Somalia 16:00 Congo DR v Sierra Leone

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick

UEFA Nations League 17:00

Armeniav

Cyprus

2 Pick: Cyprus Low

Ours: 41%
Market: 33%
Edge: +7.1%
Best odds: 2.98

Bet Now Compare odds

UEFA Nations League 17:00

Türkiyev

Belgium

2 Pick: Belgium Low

Ours: 57%
Market: 52%
Edge: +5.2%
Best odds: 1.87

Bet Now Compare odds

Guatemala Liga Nacional 22:00

Aurorav

Mixco

1 Pick: Aurora Low

Ours: 51%
Market: 48%
Edge: +2.7%
Best odds: 1.91

Bet Now Compare odds

Brazil Serie B 23:00

São Bernardov

Athletic Club

1 Pick: São Bernardo Low

Ours: 51%
Market: 49%
Edge: +2.1%
Best odds: 1.98

Bet Now Compare odds

The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability

4positive edges ≥ 2%

2strong edges ≥ 5%

+4.3%avg positive edge

1.60avg best price on picks

34fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Cayman Islands v Guyana Guyana · 90% Highest BTTS probability Águila v Municipal Limeño 80% both teams score Most goals expected England v Croatia 91% over 2.5 Top value pick Armenia v Cyprus +7.1% edge Biggest market move Tarancón v Levante home 21.43 ▼ -31.71

All matches today

36 fixtures · 2 already played

Time	League	Match	Pick	Prob	Market	Edge	Conf	Best odds
13:00	Uganda Premier League	Kigezi HomeBoyzvVipers Uganda Premier League	2	61.5%	—	—	Low	—
15:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	GhanavSomalia Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	1	82.5%	87%	-4.2%	Low	1.09
16:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Congo DRvSierra Leone Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	1	70.3%	76%	-5.9%	Low	1.23
16:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Equatorial GuineavZimbabwe Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	1	38.0%	37%	+0.9%	Low	2.56
16:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	GuineavEritrea Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	1	69.2%	75%	-5.5%	Low	1.26
16:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	MadagascarvGuinea-Bissau Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	2	38.6%	40%	-0.9%	Low	2.42
17:00	UEFA Nations League	TürkiyevBelgium UEFA Nations League	2	57.1%	52%	+5.2%	Low	1.87
17:00	UEFA Nations League	ArmeniavCyprus UEFA Nations League	2	40.6%	33%	+7.1%	Low	2.98
17:30	Copa del Rey	Calvo SotelovAlbacete Copa del Rey	2	56.7%	60%	-3.2%	Low	1.58
18:00	Copa del Rey	TarancónvLevante Copa del Rey	2	75.5%	85%	-9.4%	Medium	1.11
18:00	Copa del Rey	NavalcarnerovReal Betis Copa del Rey	2	77.5%	82%	-4.4%	Low	1.17
18:00	Coupe de France	ChambéryvGrenoble Coupe de France	2	44.1%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	BeninvCentral African Republic Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	1	57.5%	57%	+0.7%	Low	1.68
19:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	CameroonvNamibia Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	1	68.0%	73%	-5.1%	Low	1.29
19:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Ivory CoastvGambia Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	1	70.2%	76%	-5.6%	Low	1.23
19:00	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	SenegalvSudan Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	1	81.8%	84%	-2.5%	Low	1.12
19:00	CONCACAF Nations League	BarbadosvGuadeloupe CONCACAF Nations League	2	37.9%	43%	-4.7%	Low	2.26
19:00	CONCACAF Nations League	Cayman IslandsvGuyana CONCACAF Nations League	2	89.9%	91%	-0.7%	Low	1.04
19:45	UEFA Nations League	EnglandvCroatia UEFA Nations League	1	78.7%	77%	+1.7%	Low	1.27
19:45	UEFA Nations League	ItalyvFrance UEFA Nations League	2	48.6%	50%	-1.1%	Low	2.00
19:45	UEFA Nations League	CzechiavSpain UEFA Nations League	2	80.5%	79%	+1.1%	Low	1.24
19:45	UEFA Nations League	AlbaniavFinland UEFA Nations League	1	41.0%	41%	-0.3%	Low	2.40
19:45	UEFA Nations League	MontenegrovLatvia UEFA Nations League	1	69.3%	74%	-4.9%	Low	1.32
19:45	UEFA Nations League	San MarinovBelarus UEFA Nations League	2	83.9%	83%	+0.8%	Low	1.17
20:00	CONCACAF Nations League	BonairevCuba CONCACAF Nations League	2	75.8%	85%	-9.3%	Low	1.11
21:30	Primera Division	ÁguilavMunicipal Limeño Primera Division	1	53.8%	52%	+1.7%	Low	1.80
21:30	Primera Division	Atletico BalboavInca Aruba Primera Division	1	53.4%	54%	-0.4%	Low	1.72
22:00	Primera A	Deportivo PastovJunior Primera A	2	73.6%	83%	-9.3%	Low	1.13
22:00	Guatemala Liga Nacional	AuroravMixco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1	50.6%	48%	+2.7%	Low	1.91
22:00	Brazil Serie B	Ponte PretavOperario-PR Brazil Serie B	2	59.7%	60%	-0.1%	Low	1.62
22:00	CONCACAF Nations League	ArubavMartinique CONCACAF Nations League	2	56.6%	63%	-6.0%	Low	1.53
23:00	Brazil Serie B	São BernardovAthletic Club Brazil Serie B	1	51.0%	49%	+2.1%	Low	1.98
23:00	Uruguay Primera División	Cerro LargovProgreso Uruguay Primera División	1	45.3%	51%	-5.4%	Low	1.88
23:00	CONCACAF Nations League	Antigua and BarbudavTrinidad and Tobago CONCACAF Nations League	2	60.3%	70%	-9.6%	Low	1.35
2-2 FT	Primera Division	FASvInter Primera Division	1	45.9%	49%	-2.8%	Low	1.95
1-1 FT	Liga de Expansión MX	PiratasvCA La Paz Liga de Expansión MX	1	49.1%	50%	-0.9%	Low	1.94

Upcoming fixtures

45 fixtures on 13 November 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals

Colombia · Primera A 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:00	LlanerosvChico	1	Low	1.80	3.89	5.29

World · CONCACAF Nations League 5 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:30	CuraçaovPanama	2	Low	3.35	3.26	2.53
19:00	BermudavSt. Lucia	2	Low	8.27	5.99	1.40
19:00	Puerto RicovDominica	1	Low	1.33	6.51	10.31
20:00	GrenadavSt. Kitts and Nevis	2	Low	3.46	4.01	2.17
23:00	Saint MartinvEl Salvador	2	Low	11.24	5.67	1.36

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
02:00	MonarcasvLeones Negros UDG	1	Low

Ukraine · Persha Liga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
10:00	PrykarpattiavKolos Kovalivka II	1	Low	2.11	3.58	4.06

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 12 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
13:00	ComorosvCongo	1	Low	2.01	3.43	4.72
13:00	MozambiquevEthiopia	1	Low	1.68	3.93	6.71
13:00	ZambiavBurundi	1	Low	1.78	3.89	5.50
16:00	Burkina FasovMauritania	1	Low	1.68	3.85	6.82
16:00	Cape Verde IslandsvLiberia	1	Low	1.36	5.43	12.50
16:00	GabonvLesotho	1	Low	1.33	5.92	13.04
16:00	NigeriavTanzania	1	Low	1.24	7.61	16.30
16:00	South AfricavKenya	1	Low	1.37	5.33	11.98
16:00	TunisiavLibya	1	Low	1.39	5.10	11.93
19:00	EgyptvMalawi	1	Low	1.19	8.39	26.39
19:00	MalivRwanda	1	Low	1.38	5.44	10.87
20:00	MoroccovNiger	1	Low	1.12	12.53	35.87

Montenegro · First League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
15:00	JezerovBuducnost Podgorica	1	Low

World · UEFA Nations League 10 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:00	MoldovavKazakhstan	2	Low	2.86	3.10	3.05
19:45	SloveniavSwitzerland	2	Low	5.78	3.76	1.78
19:45	ScotlandvFYR Macedonia	1	Low	1.26	6.84	16.85
19:45	SerbiavGermany	2	Low	9.70	6.50	1.35
19:45	SlovakiavFaroe Islands	1	Low	1.45	4.95	9.11
19:45	LuxembourgvEstonia	1	Low	2.29	3.31	3.82
19:45	BulgariavIceland	2	Low	4.61	3.73	1.94
19:45	LiechtensteinvAzerbaijan	2	Low	12.96	5.24	1.37
19:45	AndorravGibraltar	1	Low	1.91	3.29	5.77
19:45	NetherlandsvGreece	1	Low	1.59	4.76	6.14

Nigeria · Premier Football League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
17:00	Shooting StarsvBendel Insurance	1	Low

Algeria · Ligue 1 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:00	JS SaouravKhenchela	1	Low	2.11	3.24	4.58

France · Coupe de France 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
19:00	DijonvOrleans	2	Low
19:00	St-Philbert Gd LieuvLa Roche VF	2	Low
19:00	La NeuvillettevValenciennes	2	Low

Spain · Segunda División 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
19:30	LeganesvBurgos	1	Low	2.43	3.37	3.43

Northern Ireland · Premiership 6 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
19:45	Ballymena UnitedvLinfield	2	Low	4.84	4.12	1.81
19:45	Coleraine FCvPortadown	1	Low	1.29	7.08	11.71
19:45	Carrick RangersvCrusaders FC	1	Low	1.73	4.63	4.85
19:45	GlentoranvBangor	1	Low	1.45	5.40	8.12
19:45	LarnevDungannon Swifts	1	Low	1.63	4.52	6.06
19:45	Limavady UnitedvCliftonville FC	2	Low	4.77	4.36	1.78

Spain · Copa del Rey 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
20:00	Salamanca UDSvCelta Vigo	2	Low	7.91	5.42	1.45

Uruguay · Primera División 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
20:00	Atletico TorquevRacing Montevideo	1	Low	2.00	3.81	4.22

Where to bet

Exclusive welcome offer

Betwinner

Welcome bonus for new customers

Cash out
Live streaming
14 markets priced

Claim Bonus

18+. New customers only. · T&Cs apply · gamble responsibly.

Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

TAR 21.43 ▼ -31.71

CAY 41.57 ▲ +21.87

GHA 1.15 ▼ -0.04

CZE 13.58 ▼ -5.53

IVO 1.32 ▲ +0.08

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
02:00	PiratasvCA La Paz	1–1	1✗	Low	→

El Salvador · Primera Division 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
01:00	FASvInter	2–2	1✗	Low	→

Competitions

Premier League	predictions →
La Liga	predictions →
Bundesliga	predictions →
Serie A	predictions →
Ligue 1	predictions →
UEFA Champions League	predictions →
UEFA Europa League	predictions →
UEFA Europa Conference League	predictions →
All competitions →	predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions	→
Over/Under Predictions	→
BTTS Predictions	→
Correct Score Predictions	→
Double Chance Predictions	→
Draw Predictions	→
Goals Predictions	→
Accumulator Predictions	→
Handicap Predictions	→