- Ours
- 71%
- Market
- 67%
- Edge
- +3.6%
- Best odds
- 1.46
1X2 Football Predictions
A quick look at every fixture with a live 1X2 prediction, updated as new matches enter the model.
The 1X2 market covers the three possible outcomes of a match: a home win (1), a draw (X) or an away win (2). Our model estimates the probability of each outcome from expected-goals team ratings blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds, and flags fixtures where the model probability sits above the market price.
Today the model flags 5 positive-edge picks; the widest gap: Villarreal v Espanyol at +3.6% over the market price. Across 18,333 played matches this season, home wins landed 44%, draws 24% and away wins 31%. How our model works →
Top 1X2 opportunities
- Ours
- 42%
- Market
- 36%
- Edge
- +6.4%
- Best odds
- 2.73
- Ours
- 37%
- Market
- 31%
- Edge
- +6.0%
- Best odds
- 3.20
- Ours
- 40%
- Market
- 35%
- Edge
- +4.8%
- Best odds
- 2.81
Outcome frequency
Today's fixtures for this market
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