- Model
- 45%
- Market
- 38%
- Edge
- +7.2%
- Best odds
- 2.49
1X2 Football Predictions
A quick look at every fixture with a live 1X2 prediction, updated as new matches enter the model.
The 1X2 market covers the three possible outcomes of a match: a home win (1), a draw (X) or an away win (2). Our model estimates the probability of each outcome from expected-goals team ratings blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds, and flags fixtures where the model probability sits above the market price.
Today the model flags 2 positive-edge picks; the widest gap: Deportivo Maldonado v Liverpool Montevideo at +7.2% over the market price. Across 17,257 played matches this season, home wins landed 44%, draws 24% and away wins 32%. How our model works →
Top 1X2 opportunities
- Model
- 56%
- Market
- 50%
- Edge
- +6.7%
- Best odds
- 1.93
Outcome frequency
Today's fixtures for this market
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Low | 2.01 | 3.67 | 4.33 | → | ||
| 1 | Low | 2.33 | 3.34 | 3.67 | → | ||
| 1 | Low | 2.03 | 3.47 | 4.55 | → | ||
| 1 | Low | 2.03 | 3.73 | 4.17 | → | ||
| 2 | Low | 3.14 | 3.09 | 2.79 | → | ||
| 1 | Low | 2.66 | 3.37 | 3.05 | → | ||
| 2 | Low | 2.95 | 3.97 | 2.45 | → | ||
| 1 | Low | 2.62 | 3.39 | 3.09 | → | ||
| 1 | Low | 1.86 | 3.97 | 4.79 | → |
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