JS Kabylie
vs
USM Alger
Garuda Lions Prediction: JS Kabylie
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.77.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
JS Kabylie vs USM Alger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JS Kabylie vs USM Alger
| Probability | JS Kabylie | Draw | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.6% | 26.9% | 16.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.6% | 26.9% | 16.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why JS Kabylie
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
JS Kabylie and USM Alger expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
JS Kabylie and USM Alger attack and defence ratings
JS Kabylie
USM Alger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
JS Kabylie vs USM Alger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JS Kabylie | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | JS Kabylie win | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JS Kabylie | 56.6% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| USM Alger | 16.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | JS Kabylie win | 40.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 35.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.7% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 12.0% |
JS Kabylie vs USM Alger stats
JS Kabylie and USM Alger recent form
| JS Kabylie |
WWDWLW |
| USM Alger |
DWLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
JS Kabylie and USM Alger season so far
JS Kabylie record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
USM Alger record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
JS Kabylie vs USM Alger head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-25 | USM Alger | JS Kabylie | Algeria Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-08 | JS Kabylie | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.