Ben Aknoun
vs
USM Alger
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ben Aknoun
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger
| Probability | Ben Aknoun | Draw | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 25.9% | 28.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.7% | 25.9% | 28.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ben Aknoun
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ben Aknoun and USM Alger expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Ben Aknoun and USM Alger attack and defence ratings
Ben Aknoun
USM Alger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ben Aknoun | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ben Aknoun | 45.7% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| USM Alger | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.8% |
| No | 39.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ben Aknoun win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 51.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 7.3% |
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger stats
Ben Aknoun and USM Alger recent form
| Ben Aknoun |
DDDWDD |
| USM Alger |
LWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ben Aknoun vs USM Alger head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 | Ben Aknoun | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-18 | USM Alger | Ben Aknoun | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.