Algeria Ligue 1
·
Postponed
·Matchday 6
CS Constantine
vs
JS El Biar
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Constantine
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
CS Constantine
55%
Draw
22%
JS El Biar
23%
Chance CS Constantine wins
55%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes
CS Constantine vs JS El Biar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Constantine vs JS El Biar
| Probability | CS Constantine | Draw | JS El Biar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 22.2% | 23.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.5% | 22.2% | 23.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CS Constantine
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
CS Constantine and JS El Biar expected goals
CS Constantine
2.19
JS El Biar
1.39
Total expected goals: 3.58
CS Constantine and JS El Biar attack and defence ratings
CS Constantine
Attack
1.41 +41%
Defence
1.31 +31%
JS El Biar
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Constantine vs JS El Biar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Constantine | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Constantine | 54.5% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| JS El Biar | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.4% |
| No | 32.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Constantine win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 45.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 3-1 | 6.7% |
CS Constantine vs JS El Biar stats
CS Constantine and JS El Biar recent form
| CS Constantine |
WLWDLD |
| JS El Biar |
DWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.