Khenchela
vs
CS Constantine
Garuda Lions Prediction: Khenchela
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Khenchela vs CS Constantine overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Khenchela vs CS Constantine
| Probability | Khenchela | Draw | CS Constantine |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 26.2% | 26.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.5% | 26.2% | 26.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Khenchela
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.21.
Khenchela vs CS Constantine match preview
Khenchela enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 60%, supported by their recent form of D-D-W-W-D-W. They have an expected goals tally of 2.09, indicating a potent attack, while CS Constantine, with an 18% chance of victory, has struggled recently, recording L-W-D-L-D-L. Their expected goals stand at just 1.07, suggesting difficulties in finding the net.
The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is 61%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 58%. In their last two encounters, Khenchela and CS Constantine have drawn twice, with Khenchela yet to secure a win against them. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Khenchela, reflecting their current form and attacking capabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Khenchela and CS Constantine expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Khenchela and CS Constantine attack and defence ratings
Khenchela
CS Constantine
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Khenchela vs CS Constantine markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khenchela | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khenchela | 47.5% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| CS Constantine | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Khenchela win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Khenchela vs CS Constantine stats
Khenchela and CS Constantine recent form
| Khenchela |
LDDWWD |
| CS Constantine |
WLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Khenchela vs CS Constantine head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | CS Constantine | Khenchela | Algeria Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Khenchela | CS Constantine | Algeria Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.