Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Khenchela vs CS Constantine

2 – 0 Full time

44′A. Mathew Fall
46′D. BizimanaY. Agbagno
53′H. Chekal Affari
57′N. Benzid
59′A. Camara
65′H. Chekal AffariJ. Atibu
75′A. ChaibiF. Amrane
87′N. L'GhoulM. Bouzekri
87′A. Mathew FallI. Hachoud
90′N. BenzidM. Nezla
Khenchela 39%
Draw 29%
CS Constantine 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Khenchela vs CS Constantine overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Khenchela vs CS Constantine

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKhenchelaDrawCS Constantine
Model47.7%26.2%26.2%
Market36.0%30.5%33.6%
Final38.9%29.4%31.7%
Edge+2.9%-1.1%-1.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Khenchela

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.21.
  • The market prices Khenchela below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Khenchela ↓ / CS Constantine → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Khenchela and CS Constantine expected goals

Khenchela 1.70
CS Constantine 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.91

Khenchela and CS Constantine attack and defence ratings

Khenchela

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.98 -2%

CS Constantine

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Khenchela vs CS Constantine: result vs prediction

Khenchela 2 – 0 CS Constantine

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Khenchela vs CS Constantine markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Khenchela 38.9% 2.57 +2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.7% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.6% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.3% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Khenchela38.9%
Draw29.4%
CS Constantine31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.7%
Under 2.544.3%
Both teams to scoreYes58.5%
No41.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)61.1%
Handicap -1Khenchela win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss52.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
2-19.5%
1-08.1%

Khenchela vs CS Constantine stats

Khenchela and CS Constantine recent form

newest first
Khenchela LDDWWD
CS Constantine WLWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Khenchela vs CS Constantine head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Khenchela wins 3Draws 6CS Constantine wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-19CS ConstantineKhenchelaAlgeria Ligue 12-2
2025-12-26KhenchelaCS ConstantineAlgeria Ligue 10-0
2025-06-03CS ConstantineKhenchelaLigue 12-1
2024-11-15KhenchelaCS ConstantineLigue 11-0
2024-04-19KhenchelaCS ConstantineLigue 11-2
2023-12-01CS ConstantineKhenchelaLigue 12-0
2023-06-26CS ConstantineKhenchelaFriendlies Clubs7-0
2023-05-12CS ConstantineKhenchelaFriendlies Clubs3-0
2023-02-10KhenchelaCS ConstantineLigue 11-1
2022-08-26CS ConstantineKhenchelaLigue 13-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Khenchela vs CS Constantine odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.0%, draw 30.5%, away 33.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.49 2.91 2.68
Bet365 2.50 3.00 2.62
BetVictor 2.38 2.63 2.50
Betano 2.62 2.95 2.72
Betfair 2.60 3.00 2.63
Dafabet 2.60 3.00 2.75
Marathonbet 2.49 2.91 2.68
Pinnacle 2.56 3.06 2.77
William Hill 2.50 2.88 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▼ -0.02
X 2.95 ▲ +0.02
2 2.68 ▼ -0.02

2 snapshots recorded, from .