Garuda Lions
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Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

ES Setif vs JS Kabylie

1 – 1 Full time

11′R. Benayad
25′L. Tabti
33′B. Messaoudi
55′M. Omfia
69′M. BelkhirI. Bouchagoura
71′A. MahiousA. Msanga
72′M. HamekM. Boukerma
72′R. BenayadM. Zerrouki
76′N. El Abd
82′S. BenchammaM. Hamidi
90′L. AkhribO. Malki
90′B. BouamamaA. Belhocini
90′L. TabtiD. Hassen Khodja
90′R. BoumechraA. Naim
ES Setif 46%
Draw 31%
JS Kabylie 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

ES Setif vs JS Kabylie overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ES Setif vs JS Kabylie

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityES SetifDrawJS Kabylie
Model45.4%31.5%23.1%
Market46.6%31.1%22.3%
Final46.3%31.2%22.5%
Edge-0.3%+0.1%+0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why ES Setif

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.83.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ES Setif ↓ / JS Kabylie → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

ES Setif and JS Kabylie expected goals

ES Setif 1.27
JS Kabylie 0.83

Total expected goals: 2.11

ES Setif and JS Kabylie attack and defence ratings

ES Setif

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.86 -14%

JS Kabylie

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ES Setif vs JS Kabylie: result vs prediction

ES Setif 1 – 1 JS Kabylie

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

ES Setif vs JS Kabylie markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ES Setif 46.3% 2.16 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.7% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 58.0% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.5% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.6% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ES Setif46.3%
Draw31.2%
JS Kabylie22.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.3%
Under 2.564.7%
Both teams to scoreYes42.0%
No58.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.5%
12 (either side)68.8%
X2 (draw or away)53.7%
Handicap -1ES Setif win21.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss54.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-014.2%
0-013.4%

ES Setif vs JS Kabylie stats

ES Setif and JS Kabylie recent form

newest first
ES Setif DWLLWW
JS Kabylie WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ES Setif vs JS Kabylie head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4ES Setif wins 4Draws 2JS Kabylie wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-08JS KabylieES SetifAlgeria Ligue 15-1
2025-12-19ES SetifJS KabylieAlgeria Ligue 11-0
2025-06-12JS KabylieES SetifLigue 12-0
2024-12-13ES SetifJS KabylieLigue 12-2
2024-03-15JS KabylieES SetifLigue 10-1
2023-11-10ES SetifJS KabylieLigue 11-0
2023-05-31ES SetifJS KabylieLigue 11-1
2022-10-21JS KabylieES SetifLigue 12-3
2022-03-02ES SetifJS KabylieLigue 11-1
2021-10-29JS KabylieES SetifLigue 10-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ES Setif vs JS Kabylie odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.3%, draw 32.3%, away 22.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.06 2.76 3.86
Bet365 1.91 3.00 4.10
BetVictor 1.95 2.70 3.20
Betano 2.00 2.92 4.05
Betfair 1.91 3.00 4.00
Dafabet 2.01 2.95 4.10
Marathonbet 1.92 2.78 4.20
Pinnacle 2.00 2.80 4.50
William Hill 2.15 2.70 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.96 ▼ -0.25
X 2.94 ▲ +0.02
2 4.10 ▲ +0.90

5 snapshots recorded, from .