ES Setif
vs
JS Kabylie
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Setif
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
ES Setif vs JS Kabylie overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Setif vs JS Kabylie
| Probability | ES Setif | Draw | JS Kabylie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.7% | 29.4% | 21.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.7% | 29.4% | 21.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ES Setif
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.83.
ES Setif vs JS Kabylie match preview
ES Setif is projected to have a 49% chance of winning against JS Kabylie, with a 28% likelihood of a draw and a 23% chance for JS Kabylie to secure a victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of ES Setif, occurring at an 11% probability. In terms of expected goals, ES Setif is forecasted to score 1.55, while JS Kabylie is expected to net 0.98.
Recent form shows ES Setif with three wins in their last five matches, while JS Kabylie has a mixed record with two wins, two losses, and a draw in the same timeframe. In their last two encounters, each team has claimed one victory. The model indicates a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Setif and JS Kabylie expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
ES Setif and JS Kabylie attack and defence ratings
ES Setif
JS Kabylie
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
ES Setif vs JS Kabylie markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Setif | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Setif | 48.7% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| JS Kabylie | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.7% |
| No | 54.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Setif win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
ES Setif vs JS Kabylie stats
ES Setif and JS Kabylie recent form
| ES Setif |
DWLLWW |
| JS Kabylie |
WLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ES Setif vs JS Kabylie head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | JS Kabylie | ES Setif | Algeria Ligue 1 | 5-1 |
| 2025-12-19 | ES Setif | JS Kabylie | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.