Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 4

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef

1 – 0 Full time

Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou

JS Kabylie 64%
Draw 24%
ASO Chlef 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef overview

Garuda Lions analysis: JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJS KabylieDrawASO Chlef
Model70.0%20.8%9.2%
Market62.3%24.9%12.8%
Final64.2%23.9%11.9%
Edge+7.6%-4.0%-3.6%

Confidence: Low

Why JS Kabylie

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 0.62.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices JS Kabylie below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

JS Kabylie ↓ / ASO Chlef → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 13% 10% 2 15% 9% 3 10% 4+ 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

JS Kabylie and ASO Chlef expected goals

JS Kabylie 2.04
ASO Chlef 0.62

Total expected goals: 2.65

JS Kabylie and ASO Chlef attack and defence ratings

JS Kabylie

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.87 -13%

ASO Chlef

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef: result vs prediction

JS Kabylie 1 – 0 ASO Chlef

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 JS Kabylie 64.2% 1.56 +7.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.5% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score No 59.1% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.1% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 JS Kabylie win 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2JS Kabylie64.2%
Draw23.9%
ASO Chlef11.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.5%
Under 2.550.5%
Both teams to scoreYes40.9%
No59.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.1%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)35.8%
Handicap -1JS Kabylie win45.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss30.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-014.6%
1-013.5%
3-09.9%

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef stats

JS Kabylie and ASO Chlef recent form

newest first
JS Kabylie LWDWWL
ASO Chlef LLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4JS Kabylie wins 3Draws 3ASO Chlef wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-20ASO ChlefJS KabylieAlgeria Ligue 11-2
2025-12-27JS KabylieASO ChlefAlgeria Ligue 12-1
2025-06-21JS KabylieASO ChlefLigue 11-0
2024-12-28ASO ChlefJS KabylieLigue 11-0
2024-06-07ASO ChlefJS KabylieLigue 11-1
2024-01-13JS KabylieASO ChlefLigue 12-1
2023-03-03JS KabylieASO ChlefLigue 10-0
2022-08-26ASO ChlefJS KabylieLigue 11-0
2022-04-23JS KabylieASO ChlefLigue 10-1
2021-12-28ASO ChlefJS KabylieLigue 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

JS Kabylie vs ASO Chlef odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.3%, draw 24.9%, away 12.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.44 3.60 7.50
Bet365 1.44 3.60 7.00
BetVictor 1.36 3.30 6.00
Betano 1.47 3.85 6.50
Betfair 1.44 3.80 7.00
Dafabet 1.46 4.00 6.80
Marathonbet 1.43 3.60 7.10
Pinnacle 1.48 3.62 8.12
SBO 1.39 3.66 6.38
William Hill 1.44 3.50 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 —
X 3.61 ▼ -0.19
2 7.00 ▼ -0.50

4 snapshots recorded, from .