Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 4

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar

2 – 2 Full time

5′A. Saad
19′M. Benchaira
31′K. Merzougui
39′A. Oukali
45′A. Bangoura
46′Y. OuassaM. Guemroud
46′K. MerzouguiA. Mammeri
46′M. BoukermaM. Kaddour
46′S. KermicheD. Mouaki
48′L. Adjout
61′M. Guemroud
74′D. Mouaki
77′A. DjahnitR. Brahimi
77′A. OukaliA. Djabout
77′A. SaadA. Zaouche
86′A. BangouraO. Chita
Ben Aknoun 45%
Draw 30%
JS El Biar 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBen AknounDrawJS El Biar
Model49.9%25.9%24.2%
Market42.7%31.6%25.6%
Final44.5%30.2%25.3%
Edge+7.2%-5.7%-1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Ben Aknoun

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.15.
  • The market prices Ben Aknoun below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ben Aknoun ↓ / JS El Biar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 6% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Ben Aknoun and JS El Biar expected goals

Ben Aknoun 1.73
JS El Biar 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.88

Ben Aknoun and JS El Biar attack and defence ratings

Ben Aknoun

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.15 +15%

JS El Biar

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar: result vs prediction

Ben Aknoun 2 – 2 JS El Biar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ben Aknoun 44.5% 2.25 +7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.3% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.1% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ben Aknoun44.5%
Draw30.2%
JS El Biar25.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.0%
Under 2.545.0%
Both teams to scoreYes57.3%
No42.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.7%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)55.5%
Handicap -1Ben Aknoun win27.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss50.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
2-19.7%
1-08.6%

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar stats

Ben Aknoun and JS El Biar recent form

newest first
Ben Aknoun DDWDDL
JS El Biar WLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Ben Aknoun wins 1Draws 0JS El Biar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-26JS El BiarBen AknounLigue 20-1
2024-09-21Ben AknounJS El BiarLigue 20-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ben Aknoun vs JS El Biar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 31.6%, away 25.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 2.81 3.64
Bet365 2.10 2.88 3.40
BetVictor 1.95 2.75 3.13
Betano 2.15 2.90 3.55
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.40
Marathonbet 2.08 2.81 3.54
Pinnacle 2.15 2.86 3.81
SBO 2.12 2.84 3.04
William Hill 2.10 2.80 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.15
X 2.84 ▲ +0.04
2 3.50 ▲ +0.20

3 snapshots recorded, from .