Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 4

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger

1 – 0 Full time

59′A. El Orfi
60′B. Hend
62′D. KamagateM. A. Gherbi
62′D. BensaadallahS. E. Bouziani
67′A. K. AmqranM. Sy
67′B. HendM. Djahdou
69′Z. Draoui
72′H. Salem
74′M. BouderbalaH. Ghacha
75′Z. DraouiF. Boulaya
79′A. El OrfiM. Midoune
79′N. Ben KheiraH. Fatawu
84′MB Rouisset
84′MB Rouisset
88′M. TliliR. Hamroune
89′M. Djahdou
MB Rouisset 30%
Draw 32%
USM Alger 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger overview

Garuda Lions analysis: MB Rouisset vs USM Alger

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMB RouissetDrawUSM Alger
Model35.1%31.5%33.4%
Market27.9%32.6%39.5%
Final29.7%32.4%38.0%
Edge+7.2%-1.1%-6.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

MB Rouisset ↓ / USM Alger → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 10% 1 11% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

MB Rouisset and USM Alger expected goals

MB Rouisset 1.13
USM Alger 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.23

MB Rouisset and USM Alger attack and defence ratings

MB Rouisset

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.01 +1%

USM Alger

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger: result vs prediction

MB Rouisset 1 – 0 USM Alger

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 USM Alger 38.0% 2.63 -6.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 70.3% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.6% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2MB Rouisset29.7%
Draw32.4%
USM Alger38.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.6%
Under 2.561.4%
Both teams to scoreYes46.6%
No53.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.0%
12 (either side)67.6%
X2 (draw or away)70.3%
Handicap -1USM Alger win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss66.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.1%
1-010.8%

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger stats

MB Rouisset and USM Alger recent form

newest first
MB Rouisset LWLLWW
USM Alger WWDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1MB Rouisset wins 0Draws 2USM Alger wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-30MB RouissetUSM AlgerAlgeria Ligue 11-0
2025-12-22USM AlgerMB RouissetAlgeria Ligue 12-0
2024-03-08USM AlgerMB RouissetCoupe Nationale8-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

MB Rouisset vs USM Alger odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.9%, draw 32.6%, away 39.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.29 2.73 2.30
Bet365 3.10 2.88 2.25
BetVictor 2.90 2.55 2.15
Betano 3.25 2.87 2.32
Betfair 3.30 2.80 2.20
Dafabet 3.25 2.90 2.33
Marathonbet 3.20 2.73 2.28
Pinnacle 3.33 2.81 2.37
SBO 3.08 2.75 2.16
William Hill 3.25 2.62 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.25 ▲ +0.62
X 2.77 ▼ -0.04
2 2.29 ▼ -0.33

5 snapshots recorded, from .