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Algeria Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 4

MC Alger vs Témouchent

1 – 0 Full time

MC Alger 74%
Draw 19%
Témouchent 7%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

MC Alger vs Témouchent overview

Garuda Lions analysis: MC Alger vs Témouchent

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMC AlgerDrawTémouchent
Model70.0%22.1%7.8%
Market75.8%17.7%6.5%
Final74.4%18.8%6.8%
Edge-5.8%+4.5%+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why MC Alger

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.47.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

MC Alger ↓ / Témouchent → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 17% 9% 2 17% 3 10% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

MC Alger and Témouchent expected goals

MC Alger 1.85
Témouchent 0.47

Total expected goals: 2.33

MC Alger and Témouchent attack and defence ratings

MC Alger

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Témouchent

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

MC Alger vs Témouchent: result vs prediction

MC Alger 1 – 0 Témouchent

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Algeria Ligue 1

Before and after this match

MC Alger vs Témouchent markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 MC Alger 74.4% 1.34 -5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score No 67.3% 1.49 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 93.2% 1.07 — —
Handicap -1 MC Alger win 43.7% 2.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2MC Alger74.4%
Draw18.8%
Témouchent6.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.1%
Under 2.558.9%
Both teams to scoreYes32.7%
No67.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)93.2%
12 (either side)81.2%
X2 (draw or away)25.6%
Handicap -1MC Alger win43.7%
Push (exactly one goal)26.4%
Loss29.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.2%
2-016.7%
0-010.6%

MC Alger vs Témouchent stats

MC Alger and Témouchent recent form

newest first
MC Alger WWDWLD
Témouchent WLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

MC Alger vs Témouchent head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

MC Alger vs Témouchent odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.8%, draw 17.7%, away 6.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.17 5.30 16.00
Bet365 1.22 4.75 13.00
BetVictor 1.15 4.20 10.50
Betano 1.22 5.10 13.50
Betfair 1.18 5.00 14.00
Dafabet 1.21 5.60 13.00
Marathonbet 1.16 5.30 15.00
Pinnacle 1.18 5.73 18.66
SBO 1.18 5.03 10.60
William Hill 1.20 5.00 19.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.18 ▼ -0.02
X 5.06 ▲ +0.16
2 13.75 ▼ -1.00

4 snapshots recorded, from .