Ligue 1 Football Predictions
Fixtures, model probabilities and a results-derived table for Ligue 1 — 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 127 goals in 46 matches (2.76 per game).
46matches · 2026/27 season
127goals
2.76avg goals / match
60fixtures in window
17with a model pick
updated
Next Ligue 1 fixtures
11.52
X4.97
27.18
Full prediction →
11.14
X12.58
224.11
Full prediction →
11.68
X4.50
25.48
Full prediction →
13.41
X3.53
22.36
Full prediction → Value picks in Ligue 1
1
Pick: Brest
High
- Model
- 54%
- Market
- 48%
- Edge
- +5.9%
- Best odds
- 2.05
2
Pick: Paris FC
High
- Model
- 48%
- Market
- 42%
- Edge
- +5.5%
- Best odds
- 2.36
Paris FCv
Rennes
1
Pick: Paris FC
High
- Model
- 64%
- Market
- 41%
- Edge
- +22.9%
- Best odds
- 2.37
An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.
Upcoming Ligue 1 fixtures
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lillev Le Havre
|
1 | High | 1.52 | 4.97 | 7.18 | → | |
 Paris Saint Germainv Le Mans
|
1 | Medium | 1.14 | 12.58 | 24.11 | → | |
 Monacov Toulouse
|
1 | High | 1.68 | 4.50 | 5.48 | → | |
 LorientvParis FC
|
2 | High | 3.41 | 3.53 | 2.36 | → | |
 Brestv Angers
|
1 | High | 2.10 | 3.81 | 3.82 | → | |
 Nicev Strasbourg
|
1 | High | 2.43 | 3.78 | 3.08 | → | |
Rennesv Auxerre
|
1 | High | 1.51 | 5.17 | 6.88 | → | |
 Estac Troyesv Marseille
|
2 | Medium | 3.94 | 4.05 | 2.00 | → | |
| Le MansvToulouse
|
2 | Medium | 3.24 | 3.65 | 2.39 | → | |
| StrasbourgvParis Saint Germain
|
2 | High | 6.67 | 5.58 | 1.49 | ||
| LillevBrest
|
1 | High | 1.70 | 4.43 | 5.40 | ||
Estac Troyesv Lens
|
2 | Medium | 4.23 | 4.17 | 1.91 | ||
| AngersvMarseille
|
2 | High | 3.31 | 3.90 | 2.27 | ||
| LorientvMonaco
|
2 | High | 3.58 | 3.68 | 2.23 | ||
| Le HavrevAuxerre
|
1 | High | 2.57 | 3.60 | 3.01 | ||
| Paris FCvRennes
|
1 | High | 2.43 | 3.66 | 3.18 | ||
 LyonvNice
|
1 | High | 1.75 | 4.24 | 5.20 | ||
| BrestvNice
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ToulousevEstac Troyes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LensvParis FC
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MonacovLille
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AngersvLorient
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MarseillevLe Havre
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| RennesvStrasbourg
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AuxerrevLe Mans
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Paris Saint GermainvLyon
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Le HavrevParis Saint Germain
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LillevLens
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MarseillevToulouse
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| StrasbourgvAuxerre
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Paris FCvMonaco
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NicevRennes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LyonvAngers
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LorientvBrest
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Estac TroyesvLe Mans
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AngersvNice
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Paris Saint GermainvEstac Troyes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| RennesvLille
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ToulousevStrasbourg
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| BrestvLyon
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AuxerrevParis FC
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Le HavrevLorient
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Le MansvMonaco
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LensvMarseille
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LillevLyon
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MarseillevLe Mans
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NicevParis Saint Germain
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MonacovAuxerre
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| StrasbourgvBrest
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LorientvRennes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Estac TroyesvLe Havre
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Paris FCvAngers
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LensvToulouse
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AngersvLens
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LyonvMonaco
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NicevEstac Troyes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Paris Saint GermainvLorient
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ToulousevRennes
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| BrestvParis FC
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AuxerrevMarseille
|
— | — | — | — | — |
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Ligue 1 goals per match
Mean goals in the matches played each week of the season.
Ligue 1 form table
Ranked by points, then goal difference — computed from played results, not an imported table.
Trending Ligue 1 markets
Over 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS
59%
Home wins
41%
Draws
28%
Away wins
30%
Most common scores: 2-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-2 (11%), 2-2 (11%)
How the markets actually landed over 46 played matches, 2026/27 season — realised frequencies, not a forecast.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 2 | Lyon |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 11 | LWDWD |
| 3 | Paris FC |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Lille |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 5 | Rennes |
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 | LWWWD |
| 6 | Paris Saint Germain |
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Lens |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 8 | Angers |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 | WDLWL |
| 9 | Strasbourg |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Le Mans |
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 | WDDLD |
| 11 | Auxerre |
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 | WWLLL |
| 12 | Brest |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 | LLWDD |
| 13 | Lorient |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 | LDWLD |
| 14 | Toulouse |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 15 | Nice |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 | WLDLD |
| 16 | Estac Troyes |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 | LLLWD |
| 17 | Marseille |
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | LLLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre |
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLDL |
Ligue 1 recent results
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LensvLyon
|
2–1 | 1✓ | High | → | |
| MarseillevParis Saint Germain
|
1–2 | 2✓ | High | → | |
| NicevLille
|
2–1 | 2✗ | High | → | |
| AuxerrevBrest
|
2–1 | 2✗ | High | → | |
| Le MansvLorient
|
2–1 | 1✓ | Medium | → | |
| ToulousevLe Havre
|
3–2 | 1✓ | High | → |