La Liga Football Predictions
Fixtures, model probabilities and a results-derived table for La Liga — 20 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 212 goals in 70 matches (3.03 per game).
70matches · 2026/27 season
212goals
3.03avg goals / match
60fixtures in window
20with a model pick
updated
Next La Liga fixtures
12.86
X3.56
22.71
Full prediction →
14.54
X3.94
21.90
Full prediction →
11.13
X12.58
226.85
Full prediction →
11.44
X5.92
27.39
Full prediction → Value picks in La Liga
1
Pick: Racing Santander
High
- Model
- 62%
- Market
- 41%
- Edge
- +20.6%
- Best odds
- 2.42
1
Pick: Levante
High
- Model
- 55%
- Market
- 35%
- Edge
- +20.2%
- Best odds
- 2.84
1
Pick: Deportivo La Coruna
High
- Model
- 55%
- Market
- 45%
- Edge
- +10.2%
- Best odds
- 2.17
An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.
Upcoming La Liga fixtures
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rayo Vallecanov Athletic Club
|
2 | High | 2.86 | 3.56 | 2.71 | → | |
 Alavesv Atletico Madrid
|
2 | High | 4.54 | 3.94 | 1.90 | → | |
 Barcelonav Getafe
|
1 | High | 1.13 | 12.58 | 26.85 | → | |
 Real Madridv Villarreal
|
1 | High | 1.44 | 5.92 | 7.39 | → | |
 Elchev Celta Vigo
|
1 | High | 2.93 | 3.42 | 2.73 | → | |
 Real Sociedadv Deportivo La Coruna
|
1 | High | 1.68 | 4.24 | 5.93 | → | |
 Real Betisv Osasuna
|
1 | High | 1.60 | 4.60 | 6.32 | → | |
 Racing Santanderv Valencia
|
1 | High | 2.45 | 3.68 | 3.13 | → | |
 Levantev Sevilla
|
1 | High | 2.86 | 3.51 | 2.74 | → | |
| Deportivo La CorunavLevante
|
1 | High | 2.22 | 3.64 | 3.64 | → | |
 EspanyolvAtletico Madrid
|
2 | High | 4.34 | 3.96 | 1.94 | ||
| VillarrealvElche
|
1 | High | 1.55 | 5.04 | 6.41 | ||
| Real BetisvBarcelona
|
2 | High | 6.12 | 5.80 | 1.51 | ||
| ValenciavAthletic Club
|
2 | High | 3.70 | 3.59 | 2.22 | ||
| OsasunavRacing Santander
|
1 | High | 2.01 | 3.78 | 4.22 | ||
| Celta VigovAlaves
|
1 | High | 2.12 | 3.61 | 3.98 | ||
 MalagavReal Sociedad
|
2 | High | 3.29 | 3.72 | 2.34 | ||
| Real MadridvSevilla
|
1 | High | 1.32 | 6.67 | 10.59 | ||
| GetafevRayo Vallecano
|
1 | High | 2.98 | 3.26 | 2.80 | ||
| LevantevAthletic Club
|
1 | High | 3.48 | 3.69 | 2.27 | → | |
| AlavesvMalaga
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Rayo VallecanovElche
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Racing SantandervEspanyol
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ValenciavVillarreal
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Atletico MadridvDeportivo La Coruna
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Athletic ClubvGetafe
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Celta VigovReal Betis
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Real SociedadvLevante
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| BarcelonavReal Madrid
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| SevillavOsasuna
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| VillarrealvEspanyol
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LevantevAtletico Madrid
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Rayo VallecanovCelta Vigo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Real BetisvMalaga
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| BarcelonavAlaves
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Deportivo La CorunavOsasuna
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ElchevValencia
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| GetafevSevilla
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Racing SantandervReal Madrid
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Athletic ClubvReal Sociedad
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Deportivo La CorunavOsasuna
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Atletico MadridvBarcelona
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ElchevReal Betis
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| EspanyolvDeportivo La Coruna
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MalagavRacing Santander
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Real SociedadvRayo Vallecano
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| SevillavAlaves
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| ValenciavReal Madrid
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| VillarrealvGetafe
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Celta VigovLevante
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| OsasunavAthletic Club
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AlavesvDeportivo La Coruna
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| BarcelonavVillarreal
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| GetafevAtletico Madrid
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| LevantevElche
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| OsasunavMalaga
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| SevillavReal Betis
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Real MadridvCelta Vigo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Racing SantandervReal Sociedad
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Rayo VallecanovValencia
|
— | — | — | — | — |
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La Liga goals per match
Mean goals in the matches played each week of the season.
La Liga form table
| Team | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona |
21 | WWWWW |
| Atletico Madrid |
16 | WWWLW |
| Real Betis |
16 | DWWWL |
| Real Madrid |
15 | LWWLW |
| Sevilla |
13 | LWWDL |
Ranked by points, then goal difference — computed from played results, not an imported table.
Trending La Liga markets
Over 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS
59%
Home wins
44%
Draws
26%
Away wins
30%
Most common scores: 1-1 (16%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (7%), 1-3 (7%)
How the markets actually landed over 70 played matches, 2026/27 season — realised frequencies, not a forecast.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Real Betis |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 4 | Real Madrid |
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Sevilla |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Alaves |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 | DLLWW |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 | DLDWW |
| 8 | Real Sociedad |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Villarreal |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 | WWLLL |
| 10 | Athletic Club |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 | DDWWL |
| 11 | Espanyol |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 12 | Getafe |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WLDDL |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | DWLWL |
| 14 | Osasuna |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | DLLLW |
| 15 | Celta Vigo |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 16 | Racing Santander |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 | Levante |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 18 | Elche |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Malaga |
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | DLLDD |
| 20 | Valencia |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | LWLLL |
La Liga recent results
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MalagavEspanyol
|
1–1 | 2✗ | High | → | |
| ValenciavReal Sociedad
|
2–3 | 1✗ | High | → | |
| VillarrealvLevante
|
3–1 | 1✓ | High | → | |
| Deportivo La CorunavReal Betis
|
1–1 | 2✗ | Medium | → | |
| Atletico MadridvReal Madrid
|
2–1 | 2✗ | High | → | |
| GetafevMalaga
|
1–0 | 1✓ | Medium | → |