Elche
vs
Real Betis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Betis
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Real Betis is the favourite, not a value bet.
Elche vs Real Betis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Elche vs Real Betis
| Probability | Elche | Draw | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 25.3% | 33.8% |
| Market | 29.8% | 25.9% | 44.3% |
| Final | 32.6% | 25.7% | 41.7% |
| Edge | +2.8% | -0.1% | -2.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.6% per unit staked (our 41.7% × 2.19 − 1).
Elche vs Real Betis match preview
Elche faces Real Betis in a La Liga clash, with Elche holding a 33% probability of winning, while Real Betis stands at 42%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams are expected to score, with a 72% probability, and there is a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 70%. Expected goals for Elche are 1.81, whereas Real Betis has an expected goal count of 1.72.
In terms of recent form, Elche has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Real Betis has fared slightly better with three wins, one draw, and one loss during the same period. The head-to-head record shows Elche has not won against Real Betis in their last three encounters, with two wins for Betis and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Elche and Real Betis expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.21
Elche and Real Betis attack and defence ratings
Elche
Real Betis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Malaga vs Racing Santander — team news & stats
- Espanyol v Deportivo La Coruna — match page
- Osasuna vs Athletic Club — team news & stats
- Valencia vs Real Madrid
- Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano — match page
- Villarreal v Getafe — match page
- Celta Vigo vs Levante — team news & stats
- Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Elche vs Real Betis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 41.7% | 2.40 | -2.6% | 2.19 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Elche | 32.6% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Real Betis | 41.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.6% |
| No | 28.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 66.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Elche vs Real Betis stats
Elche and Real Betis recent form
| Elche |
LWWDDW |
| Real Betis |
LWDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Elche and Real Betis season so far
Elche record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Betis record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Elche vs Real Betis head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Real Betis | Elche | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Real Betis | Elche | Copa del Rey | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Elche | Real Betis | La Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Elche vs Real Betis odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.7%, draw 26.0%, away 45.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.39 | 3.80 | 2.19 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.40 | 3.90 | 2.08 |
| SBO | 2.94 | 3.23 | 2.08 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .