Espanyol
vs
Deportivo La Coruna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Espanyol
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Espanyol is the favourite, not a value bet.
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna
| Probability | Espanyol | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.5% | 28.4% | 41.1% |
| Market | 43.1% | 28.0% | 28.9% |
| Final | 40.0% | 28.1% | 31.9% |
| Edge | -3.2% | +0.1% | +3.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (our 40.0% × 2.42 − 1).
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna match preview
Espanyol faces Deportivo La Coruna in a La Liga matchup with kickoff scheduled for November 7, 2026. According to our model, Espanyol has a 40% chance of winning, while Deportivo La Coruna holds a 32% probability. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Espanyol, with an 8% likelihood. The expected goals are 1.32 for Espanyol and 1.65 for Deportivo La Coruna, indicating a competitive encounter.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Espanyol recording one win and four losses in their last six matches, while Deportivo La Coruna has one win, two draws, and three losses in the same timeframe. Our model suggests a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging and high-scoring match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Espanyol and Deportivo La Coruna expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.01
Espanyol and Deportivo La Coruna attack and defence ratings
Espanyol
Deportivo La Coruna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Espanyol | 40.0% | 2.50 | -3.2% | 2.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Espanyol | 40.0% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 31.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Espanyol win | 14.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.4% | |
| Loss | 70.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna stats
Espanyol and Deportivo La Coruna recent form
| Espanyol |
WLLLDL |
| Deportivo La Coruna |
WWLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Espanyol and Deportivo La Coruna season so far
Espanyol record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo La Coruna record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-02-23 | Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2017-09-24 | Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga | 4-1 |
| 2017-05-07 | Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2017-01-06 | Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2016-02-20 | Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2015-09-27 | Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | La Liga | 3-0 |
| 2015-03-22 | Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2014-10-26 | Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2013-05-19 | Deportivo La Coruna | Espanyol | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2012-12-20 | Espanyol | Deportivo La Coruna | La Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 28.5%, away 30.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.43 | 3.21 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.35 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.34 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.36 | 3.26 |
| SBO | 2.28 | 2.99 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
| pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.50 | 3.28 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
33 snapshots recorded, from .