Navalcarnero
vs
Real Betis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Betis
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Navalcarnero vs Real Betis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Navalcarnero vs Real Betis
| Probability | Navalcarnero | Draw | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.9% | 18.8% | 62.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.9% | 18.8% | 62.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Real Betis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Navalcarnero vs Real Betis match preview
Navalcarnero faces Real Betis in the Copa del Rey with a probability model indicating a 19% chance for a Navalcarnero victory, a 19% chance for a draw, and a 62% likelihood of a Real Betis win. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. The expected goals for Navalcarnero stand at 1.46, while Real Betis is projected to score 2.64.
In terms of recent form, Navalcarnero has recorded a loss followed by a win, while Real Betis boasts a strong run of six consecutive matches without defeat, including four victories. The model also suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 72%, indicating an expectation of an engaging match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Navalcarnero and Real Betis expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.10
Navalcarnero and Real Betis attack and defence ratings
Navalcarnero
Real Betis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Navalcarnero vs Real Betis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Betis | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Navalcarnero | 18.9% |
| Draw | 18.8% | |
| Real Betis | 62.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.9% |
| No | 28.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Betis win | 42.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 37.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.4% |
| 1-3 | 7.4% | |
| 1-1 | 7.0% |
Navalcarnero vs Real Betis stats
Navalcarnero and Real Betis recent form
| Navalcarnero |
LW |
| Real Betis |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.