Copa del Rey Β· Β·Round of 128

Calamocha vs Europa Fc

Garuda Lions Prediction: Europa Fc

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

Calamocha 25%
Draw 25%
Europa Fc 50%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Europa Fc wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Calamocha vs Europa Fc overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Calamocha vs Europa Fc

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCalamochaDrawEuropa Fc
Model24.7%25.3%50.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final24.7%25.3%50.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Europa Fc

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.21.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc match preview

In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Calamocha faces Europa FC with kickoff set for October 27, 2026. According to our model, Europa FC has a 50% probability of winning, while Calamocha and a draw are both at 25%. The expected goals for Calamocha stand at 1.21, while Europa FC is projected to score 1.80. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a probability of 10%.

Recent form shows Europa FC with a draw, loss, and win in their last three matches, while Calamocha's recent performance is not available. The model indicates a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Calamocha ↓ / Europa Fc β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Calamocha and Europa Fc expected goals

Calamocha 1.21
Europa Fc 1.80

Total expected goals: 3.01

Calamocha and Europa Fc attack and defence ratings

Calamocha

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Europa Fc

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Calamocha vs Europa Fc markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Europa Fc 50.0% 2.00 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 59.7% 1.68 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.3% 1.33 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Calamocha24.7%
Draw25.3%
Europa Fc50.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.9%
Under 2.542.1%
Both teams to scoreYes59.7%
No40.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.0%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)75.3%
Handicap -1Europa Fc win28.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
1-29.7%
0-28.0%

Calamocha vs Europa Fc stats

Calamocha and Europa Fc recent form

newest first
Calamocha no matches on record
Europa Fc DLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Europa Fc Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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