Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Calamocha vs Europa Fc

0 – 3 Full time

6′Calamocha
9′Calamocha
24′Y. Zayzoun
58′Calamocha
74′Europa Fc
74′Calamocha
81′Europa Fc
81′Calamocha
87′Europa Fc

Polideportivo Jumaya

Calamocha 22%
Draw 26%
Europa Fc 52%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Calamocha vs Europa Fc overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Calamocha vs Europa Fc

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCalamochaDrawEuropa Fc
Model24.7%25.3%50.0%
Market21.2%26.7%52.1%
Final22.1%26.3%51.6%
Edge+0.9%-0.3%-0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Europa Fc

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.21.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Calamocha ↓ / Europa Fc → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Calamocha and Europa Fc expected goals

Calamocha 1.21
Europa Fc 1.80

Total expected goals: 3.01

Calamocha and Europa Fc attack and defence ratings

Calamocha

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Europa Fc

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc: result vs prediction

Calamocha 0 – 3 Europa Fc

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Calamocha vs Europa Fc markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Europa Fc 51.6% 1.94 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.7% 1.68 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.9% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.8% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Calamocha22.1%
Draw26.3%
Europa Fc51.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.9%
Under 2.542.1%
Both teams to scoreYes59.7%
No40.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.4%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)77.9%
Handicap -1Europa Fc win28.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss49.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
1-29.7%
0-28.0%

Calamocha vs Europa Fc stats

Calamocha and Europa Fc recent form

newest first
Calamocha no matches on record
Europa Fc DLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.2%, draw 26.7%, away 52.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.62 3.48 1.77
Bet365 4.20 3.60 1.80
BetVictor 4.33 3.40 1.75
Betano 4.10 3.45 1.80
Betfair 4.50 3.70 1.80
Dafabet 4.50 3.65 1.85
Marathonbet 4.65 3.48 1.75
Pinnacle 4.32 3.36 1.78
SBO 4.03 3.20 1.70
William Hill 4.40 3.30 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.37 ▲ +0.17
X 3.46 ▼ -0.24
2 1.77 ▲ +0.02

2 snapshots recorded, from .