RSD Alcalá
vs
Las Palmas
Garuda Lions Prediction: Las Palmas
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas
| Probability | RSD Alcalá | Draw | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.8% | 22.5% | 57.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.8% | 22.5% | 57.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Las Palmas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas match preview
RSD Alcalá faces Las Palmas in the Copa del Rey on October 27, 2026. According to our model, RSD Alcalá has a 20% chance of winning, while Las Palmas is favored with a 58% probability. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2, with a 10% likelihood. Expected goals are 1.19 for RSD Alcalá and 2.11 for Las Palmas, indicating a stronger attacking potential for the visitors.
In terms of recent form, RSD Alcalá has experienced a loss, while Las Palmas has recorded a mixed set of results, including one win and three losses in their last six matches. Our model suggests a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% probability that both teams will score in this encounter, reflecting an expectation of a competitive match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
RSD Alcalá and Las Palmas expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
RSD Alcalá and Las Palmas attack and defence ratings
RSD Alcalá
Las Palmas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Sestao River v Espanyol — match page
- Manresa v Sant Andreu — match page
- Castellonense vs Almeria — team news & stats
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa
- Llanera v Ponferradina — match page
- Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes
- Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda — match page
- Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924
Before and after this match
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Las Palmas | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RSD Alcalá | 19.8% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Las Palmas | 57.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Las Palmas win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.2% |
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas stats
RSD Alcalá and Las Palmas recent form
| RSD Alcalá |
L |
| Las Palmas |
LDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.