Sestao River
vs
Espanyol
Garuda Lions Prediction: Espanyol
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Sestao River vs Espanyol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sestao River vs Espanyol
| Probability | Sestao River | Draw | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 27.7% | 44.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.5% | 27.7% | 44.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Espanyol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.16.
Sestao River vs Espanyol match preview
Sestao River faces Espanyol in the Copa del Rey on October 27, 2026. According to our model, Sestao River has a 25% chance of winning, while Espanyol is favored with a 48% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.14 for Sestao River and 1.64 for Espanyol.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 53% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 56%. Espanyol's recent form shows a mixed performance with two draws and three losses in their last six matches. Sestao River's recent form is not available for analysis.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sestao River and Espanyol expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Sestao River and Espanyol attack and defence ratings
Sestao River
Espanyol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sestao River vs Espanyol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Espanyol | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sestao River | 27.5% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Espanyol | 44.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Espanyol win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 55.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 0-1 | 9.2% |
Sestao River vs Espanyol stats
Sestao River and Espanyol recent form
| Sestao River | no matches on record |
| Espanyol |
LDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.