Sestao River
vs
Espanyol
4 – 3 Full time
| 6′ | M. Fernandez Sanchez | ||
| 8′ | J. Hernandez | ||
| 17′ | T. Dolan | ||
| 18′ | A. Carrion | ||
| 30′ | J. Castaneda | ||
| 40′ | Andoni Ugarte | ||
| 42′ | E. DelgadoPau Chicharito | ||
| 46′ | A. CalatravaR. Fernandez | ||
| 58′ | A. ArzakA. Castillo Marcilla | ||
| 58′ | A. CarrionG. Argente | ||
| 64′ | J. HernandezR. Bauza | ||
| 64′ | U. GonzalezGabriel Moscardo | ||
| 64′ | T. DolanB. Zaragoza | ||
| 73′ | A. BengoetxeaG. Zorrilla | ||
| 73′ | J. CastanedaM. Zearreta | ||
| 75′ | P. LozanoExposito | ||
| 78′ | L. Cabrera | ||
| 89′ | M. Zearreta | ||
| 90′ | R. Fernandez | ||
| 96′ | Gabriel Moscardo | ||
| 98′ | A. B. Laka | ||
| 110′ | O. El Hilali | ||
| 117′ | R. HinojoQ. Hartman | ||
| 120′ | J. Rojo |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 39 | Possession % | 61 |
| 7 | Corners | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 24 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 140 | Accurate passes | 321 |
Sestao River vs Espanyol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sestao River vs Espanyol
| Probability | Sestao River | Draw | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.3% | 27.8% | 40.9% |
| Market | 14.8% | 21.9% | 63.3% |
| Final | 18.9% | 23.4% | 57.7% |
| Edge | +4.1% | +1.5% | -5.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sestao River and Espanyol expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Sestao River and Espanyol attack and defence ratings
Sestao River
Espanyol
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sestao River vs Espanyol: result vs prediction
Sestao River 4 – 3 Espanyol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sestao River vs Espanyol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Espanyol | 57.7% | 1.73 | -5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sestao River | 18.9% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Espanyol | 57.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% |
| No | 43.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 42.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Espanyol win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
Sestao River vs Espanyol stats
Sestao River and Espanyol recent form
| Sestao River |
no matches on record |
| Espanyol |
LLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sestao River vs Espanyol head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sestao River vs Espanyol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.8%, draw 21.9%, away 63.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.27 | 4.25 | 1.48 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 6.50 | 3.95 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 6.80 | 4.60 | 1.48 |
| Marathonbet | 6.25 | 4.25 | 1.47 |
| Pinnacle | 5.42 | 4.22 | 1.49 |
| SBO | 5.61 | 3.86 | 1.41 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .