Atlético Tordesillas
vs
Mirandes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mirandes
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes
| Probability | Atlético Tordesillas | Draw | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.4% | 25.4% | 49.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.4% | 25.4% | 49.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mirandes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Atlético Tordesillas faces Mirandes, with the model indicating a 25% chance of a victory for Tordesillas, a 25% probability of a draw, and a 49% likelihood of a win for Mirandes. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expected goals for Tordesillas stand at 1.24, while Mirandes has a higher expectation of 1.78.
Both teams show a propensity for scoring, with a 60% chance that both will find the net during the match. Additionally, there is a 58% probability that the game will see over 2.5 goals. Recent form shows Atlético Tordesillas coming off a loss, while Mirandes has a mixed record with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlético Tordesillas and Mirandes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.02
Atlético Tordesillas and Mirandes attack and defence ratings
Atlético Tordesillas
Mirandes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Sestao River v Espanyol — match page
- Manresa v Sant Andreu — match page
- Castellonense vs Almeria — team news & stats
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa
- Llanera v Ponferradina — match page
- RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas — team news & stats
- Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda — match page
- Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924
Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mirandes | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Tordesillas | 25.4% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Mirandes | 49.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.1% |
| No | 39.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mirandes win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.8% |
Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes stats
Atlético Tordesillas and Mirandes recent form
| Atlético Tordesillas |
L |
| Mirandes |
LWDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.