Cuarte
vs
Girona
Garuda Lions Prediction: Girona
0 – 2 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Cuarte vs Girona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cuarte vs Girona
| Probability | Cuarte | Draw | Girona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.5% | 23.3% | 62.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 14.5% | 23.3% | 62.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Girona
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Cuarte vs Girona match preview
Cuarte faces Girona in the Copa del Rey with a significant disparity in expected performance. According to our model, Cuarte has a 15% chance of winning, while Girona holds a 62% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with Girona's expected goals of 1.94 compared to Cuarte's 0.84.
Recent form indicates Cuarte is struggling, having lost their latest match, while Girona has shown resilience with a record of D-D-W-W-L-W in their last six games. The model suggests a 52% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance that both teams will score, indicating a potentially dynamic match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cuarte and Girona expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Cuarte and Girona attack and defence ratings
Cuarte
Girona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cuarte vs Girona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Girona | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Girona win | 38.2% | 2.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuarte | 14.5% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Girona | 62.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Girona win | 38.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.7% |
| 1-1 | 11.1% | |
| 0-1 | 11.1% |
Cuarte vs Girona stats
Cuarte and Girona recent form
| Cuarte |
L |
| Girona |
DDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.