Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Cuarte vs Girona

0 – 2 Full time

23′A. Ruiz
29′G. Jordana
35′J. Valdes
54′F. ValdesI. Ruiz
60′O. Pyshchur
61′M. RamirezC. De Castro
61′L. A. Barreira PintoP. Lopez
63′D. van de BeekC. Perez
63′PortuC. Stuani
69′R. TapiaR. Carrasco
69′A. De SusR. Elias
74′M. FurtadoG. Badia
74′O. PyshchurI. Gonzalez
85′A. FrancesA. Moreno

Estadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo, Cuarte de Huerva

Cuarte 7%
Draw 15%
Girona 79%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Cuarte vs Girona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cuarte vs Girona

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCuarteDrawGirona
Model8.4%16.7%74.9%
Market6.1%14.0%79.8%
Final6.7%14.7%78.6%
Edge+0.6%+0.7%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Girona

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.53 vs 0.77.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cuarte ↓ / Girona → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 12% 10% 12% 1 8% 9% 8% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 4%

Cuarte and Girona expected goals

Cuarte 0.77
Girona 2.53

Total expected goals: 3.30

Cuarte and Girona attack and defence ratings

Cuarte

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Girona

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cuarte vs Girona: result vs prediction

Cuarte 0 – 2 Girona

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Before and after this match

Cuarte vs Girona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Girona 78.6% 1.27 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 50.0% 2.00 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 93.3% 1.07 — —
Handicap -1 Girona win 53.7% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cuarte6.7%
Draw14.7%
Girona78.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.0%
Under 2.536.0%
Both teams to scoreYes50.0%
No50.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)21.4%
12 (either side)85.3%
X2 (draw or away)93.3%
Handicap -1Girona win53.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss25.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-211.8%
0-310.0%
1-29.1%

Cuarte vs Girona stats

Cuarte and Girona recent form

newest first
Cuarte L
Girona WWDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Cuarte vs Girona head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Cuarte vs Girona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 6.1%, draw 14.0%, away 79.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 18.00 6.60 1.15
Bet365 15.00 7.00 1.17
BetVictor 15.00 7.00 1.13
Betano 12.50 6.10 1.18
Betfair 18.00 7.50 1.15
Dafabet 17.00 8.00 1.17
Marathonbet 17.50 6.55 1.16
Pinnacle 10.98 6.34 1.14
SBO 10.60 5.99 1.13
William Hill 15.00 6.50 1.17

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 15.00 ▼ -3.00
X 6.57 ▲ +0.07
2 1.15 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .