Copa del Rey · Full time ·Round of 128

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa

0 – 1 Full time

29′S. Orviz
31′S. Gnamadio
35′B. Tiru
41′S. Gnamadio
46′A. CarderoH. Garcia
47′S. Gnamadio
47′S. Gnamadio
57′E. FacchinF. Llorente
57′S. OrvizL. Brun
57′I. ChamorroTito
57′H. AllerG. Ortega
68′A. Ndiaye
69′A. EscobarJ. Delgado
69′A. NdiayeBicho
75′J. AlvarezD. Lorenzo
83′R. IbanesR. Sanchidrian

Estadio La Albuera, Segovia

Gimnástica Segoviana 31%
Draw 27%
Cultural Leonesa 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimnástica SegovianaDrawCultural Leonesa
Model33.0%28.9%38.1%
Market30.1%27.0%42.9%
Final30.8%27.4%41.7%
Edge+0.7%+0.5%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cultural Leonesa

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimnástica Seg ↓ / Cultural Leone → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 7% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Gimnástica Segoviana and Cultural Leonesa expected goals

Gimnástica Segoviana 1.23
Cultural Leonesa 1.36

Total expected goals: 2.59

Gimnástica Segoviana and Cultural Leonesa attack and defence ratings

Gimnástica Segoviana

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Cultural Leonesa

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: result vs prediction

Gimnástica Segoviana 0 – 1 Cultural Leonesa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Copa del Rey

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cultural Leonesa 41.7% 2.40 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.9% 1.85 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.5% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimnástica Segoviana30.8%
Draw27.4%
Cultural Leonesa41.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.9%
Under 2.552.1%
Both teams to scoreYes53.9%
No46.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.3%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.2%
Handicap -1Cultural Leonesa win18.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss61.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
0-18.9%
0-08.7%

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa stats

Gimnástica Segoviana and Cultural Leonesa recent form

newest first
Gimnástica Segoviana L
Cultural Leonesa DLWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Gimnástica Segoviana wins 1Draws 0Cultural Leonesa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-16Gimnástica SegovianaCultural LeonesaPrimera División RFEF - Group 11-1
2024-12-15Cultural LeonesaGimnástica SegovianaPrimera División RFEF - Group 12-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.1%, draw 27.0%, away 42.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.13 3.48 2.16
Bet365 3.20 3.40 2.20
BetVictor 3.00 3.40 2.15
Betano 2.95 3.45 2.15
Betfair 3.10 3.75 2.15
Dafabet 3.25 3.60 2.20
Marathonbet 3.12 3.48 2.14
Pinnacle 3.03 3.38 2.14
SBO 2.82 3.14 2.09
William Hill 3.00 3.40 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.06 ▼ -0.04
X 3.42 ▼ -0.08
2 2.15 ▲ +0.01

2 snapshots recorded, from .