Gimnástica Segoviana
vs
Cultural Leonesa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cultural Leonesa
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa
| Probability | Gimnástica Segoviana | Draw | Cultural Leonesa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 28.9% | 38.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.0% | 28.9% | 38.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Cultural Leonesa
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match between Gimnástica Segoviana and Cultural Leonesa, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter. Our model assigns a 33% chance for Gimnástica Segoviana to win, while Cultural Leonesa holds a 38% probability of victory, with a 29% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals suggest a close match, with Gimnástica Segoviana at 1.24 and Cultural Leonesa at 1.35.
Recent form shows Gimnástica Segoviana coming off a loss, while Cultural Leonesa has had mixed results with two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Additionally, there is a 54% chance that both teams will score, and a 48% probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gimnástica Segoviana and Cultural Leonesa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Gimnástica Segoviana and Cultural Leonesa attack and defence ratings
Gimnástica Segoviana
Cultural Leonesa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Sestao River v Espanyol — match page
- Manresa v Sant Andreu — match page
- Castellonense vs Almeria — team news & stats
- Llanera v Ponferradina — match page
- RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas — team news & stats
- Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes
- Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda — match page
- Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cultural Leonesa | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnástica Segoviana | 33.0% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Cultural Leonesa | 38.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cultural Leonesa win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 8.9% | |
| 0-0 | 8.7% |
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa stats
Gimnástica Segoviana and Cultural Leonesa recent form
| Gimnástica Segoviana |
L |
| Cultural Leonesa |
DLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.