Las Palmas
vs
Real Sociedad II
1 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | Jesé Rodríguez | ||
| 31′ | Giovanni BonfantiAndrés Rodríguez Martínez | ||
| 33′ | Iker Calderon | ||
| 45′ | Ibai AguirreLander Astiazarán | ||
| 45′ | Alex Marchal GarcíaAlex Lebarbier | ||
| 55′ | Inaki Ruperez | ||
| 60′ | Taisei MiyashiroElías Romero | ||
| 60′ | Enzo LoiodiceKirian Rodríguez | ||
| 60′ | Manu FusterMateo Acimovic | ||
| 63′ | Sergio Viera García | ||
| 71′ | Tomy CarbonellJon Eceizabarrena | ||
| 74′ | Gorka GorosabelArkaitz Mariezkurrena | ||
| 76′ | Jesé Rodríguez | ||
| 76′ | Sergio Viera GarcíaAboubacar Bassinga | ||
| 84′ | Dani DiazJavier Soroeta | ||
| 89′ | Aboubacar Bassinga | ||
| 90′ | Jon Eceizabarrena |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 402 | Accurate passes | 320 |
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II
| Probability | Las Palmas | Draw | Real Sociedad II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.4% | 22.8% | 29.8% |
| Market | 42.9% | 27.1% | 30.0% |
| Final | 44.0% | 26.0% | 30.0% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -1.1% | -0.1% |
Why Las Palmas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.63.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.71
Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II attack and defence ratings
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad II
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: result vs prediction
Las Palmas 1 – 0 Real Sociedad II
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Las Palmas | 44.0% | 2.27 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Las Palmas | 44.0% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Real Sociedad II | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% |
| No | 28.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Las Palmas win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 52.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II stats
Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II recent form
| Las Palmas |
LLDLLW |
| Real Sociedad II |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II going into this match
Las Palmas record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Sociedad II record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Real Sociedad II | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Las Palmas | Real Sociedad II | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2022-01-30 | Las Palmas | Real Sociedad II | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-29 | Real Sociedad II | Las Palmas | Segunda División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 27.1%, away 29.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.59 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.55 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.59 | 3.33 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.06 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .