Segunda División
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
Granada
vs
Real Valladolid
2 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | Sergio Rodelas Pintor | ||
| 20′ | Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda | ||
| 50′ | Julien Ponceau | ||
| 52′ | José Manuel ArnáizOwen Emeka | ||
| 57′ | Iván Garriel | ||
| 61′ | Juanjo Flores | ||
| 65′ | Baïla DialloDiego Varela Pampín | ||
| 65′ | Sergio LópezPau Casadesús | ||
| 65′ | Mario Jiménez GambínChinaza Onouha | ||
| 67′ | Jorge Pascual | ||
| 70′ | Tay AbedYeray Cabanzón | ||
| 70′ | Thiago Ezequiel OjedaKaj de Rooij | ||
| 70′ | Victor BarberaRobin van Duiven | ||
| 73′ | Iván Alejo | ||
| 77′ | Sergio Rodelas PintorKader Bamba | ||
| 81′ | Julien PonceauMathis Lachuer | ||
| 86′ | Mathis Lachuer | ||
| 87′ | Adrian ArnuTomás Fernández Sabatini | ||
| 90′ | David Torres |
Granada
43%
Draw
28%
Real Valladolid
29%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 7 | Saves | 5 |
| 284 | Accurate passes | 440 |
Granada vs Real Valladolid overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Granada vs Real Valladolid
| Probability | Granada | Draw | Real Valladolid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 25.1% | 29.3% |
| Market | 42.7% | 28.9% | 28.4% |
| Final | 43.4% | 27.9% | 28.7% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -1.0% | +0.2% |
Why Granada
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
Granada and Real Valladolid expected goals
Granada
1.79
Real Valladolid
1.41
Total expected goals: 3.19
Granada and Real Valladolid attack and defence ratings
Granada
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Real Valladolid
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Granada vs Real Valladolid: result vs prediction
Granada 2 – 1 Real Valladolid
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Granada vs Real Valladolid markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Granada | 43.4% | 2.30 | +0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Granada | 43.4% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Real Valladolid | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Granada win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
Granada vs Real Valladolid stats
Granada and Real Valladolid recent form
| Granada |
WWWLLD |
| Real Valladolid |
LWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Granada and Real Valladolid going into this match
Granada record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Valladolid record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Granada vs Real Valladolid head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Granada wins
1Draws
4Real Valladolid wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Granada | Real Valladolid | Segunda División | 5-1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Real Valladolid | Granada | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-11 | Real Valladolid | Granada | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2020-11-22 | Granada | Real Valladolid | La Liga | 1-3 |
| 2020-08-28 | Granada | Real Valladolid | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2020-02-15 | Granada | Real Valladolid | La Liga | 2-1 |
| 2019-09-24 | Real Valladolid | Granada | La Liga | 1-1 |
| 2018-02-09 | Granada | Real Valladolid | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2017-09-16 | Real Valladolid | Granada | Segunda División | 2-1 |
| 2014-05-18 | Real Valladolid | Granada | La Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Granada vs Real Valladolid odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 28.8%, away 28.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.34 | 3.32 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.24 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.35 | 3.42 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 2.91 | 2.87 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▲ +0.04
X
3.25 ▼ -0.13
2
3.30 ▼ -0.23
12 snapshots recorded, from .