Granada
vs
Cadiz
Garuda Lions Prediction: Granada
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Granada vs Cadiz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Granada vs Cadiz
| Probability | Granada | Draw | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 27.0% | 32.1% |
| Market | 51.4% | 26.4% | 22.2% |
| Final | 48.8% | 26.5% | 24.7% |
| Edge | -10.5% | +0.6% | +9.9% |
Why Granada
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Granada vs Cadiz match preview
Granada faces Cadiz in the Segunda División with a probability of 49% for a Granada win, 27% for a draw, and 24% for a Cadiz victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Granada, with an expected goals tally of 1.55 for Granada and 1.35 for Cadiz. Both teams show a strong likelihood of scoring, with a 59% chance that both will find the net.
In terms of recent form, Granada has secured two wins but also experienced a mix of results with one draw and two losses. Conversely, Cadiz has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches, accompanied by three losses. Historical encounters between the two teams suggest a competitive matchup, with Granada winning two of the last four meetings, Cadiz winning one, and one match ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Granada and Cadiz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
Granada and Cadiz attack and defence ratings
Granada
Cadiz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Granada vs Cadiz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Granada | 48.8% | 2.05 | -10.5% | 1.89 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Granada | 48.8% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Cadiz | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.4% |
| No | 40.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Granada win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Granada vs Cadiz stats
Granada and Cadiz recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Granada and Cadiz season so far
Granada record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cadiz record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Granada vs Cadiz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Cadiz | Granada | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Cadiz | Granada | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Granada | Cadiz | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Cadiz | Granada | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Cadiz | Granada | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Granada | Cadiz | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-29 | Cadiz | Granada | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-03 | Granada | Cadiz | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-28 | Granada | Cadiz | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-13 | Cadiz | Granada | La Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Granada vs Cadiz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.0%, draw 26.7%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.68 | 4.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.58 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.57 | 4.42 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.05 | 3.62 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .