Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 10

Granada vs Cadiz

2 – 0 Full time

44′Rubén Alcaraz
50′Gerard Gumbau
56′Aimen MoueffekUrko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi
56′Antonio CorderoBorja Vazquez
62′Baïla DialloDiego Varela Pampín
67′Marc-Olivier DouéJandro Orellana
67′Beñat de Jesús DomingoJuan Díaz Peregrina
67′Jorge Pascual
73′Rubén AlcarazDiego Hormigo
73′Sergio Rodelas PintorOwen Emeka
73′Jorge PascualChinaza Onouha
74′Javier CastroBojan Kovacevic
79′Vladyslav Kopotun
83′José Manuel ArnáizMario Jiménez Gambín
89′Borja Vazquez

Nuevo Los Cármenes, GranadaReferee: Rafael Sanchez Lopez

Granada 48%
Draw 27%
Cadiz 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
54 Possession % 46
4 Corners 6
14 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 0
1 Saves 0
336 Accurate passes 330

Granada vs Cadiz overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Granada vs Cadiz

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGranadaDrawCadiz
Model40.7%27.0%32.3%
Market50.9%26.9%22.2%
Final48.4%26.9%24.7%
Edge-2.5%+0.0%+2.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Granada

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Granada ↓ / Cadiz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 7% 13% 8% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Granada and Cadiz expected goals

Granada 1.54
Cadiz 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.89

Granada and Cadiz attack and defence ratings

Granada

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Cadiz

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Granada vs Cadiz: result vs prediction

Granada 2 – 0 Cadiz

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Granada vs Cadiz markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Granada 48.4% 2.07 -2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.4% 1.68 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.3% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Granada48.4%
Draw26.9%
Cadiz24.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%
Both teams to scoreYes59.4%
No40.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.3%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)51.6%
Handicap -1Granada win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss59.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Granada vs Cadiz stats

Granada and Cadiz recent form

newest first
Granada WWLLDL
Cadiz LWDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Granada and Cadiz going into this match

league record before kick-off

Granada record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cadiz record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Granada vs Cadiz head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Granada wins 5Draws 3Cadiz wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-05CadizGranadaFriendlies Clubs2-0
2026-01-24CadizGranadaSegunda División1-2
2025-10-25GranadaCadizSegunda División0-0
2025-07-26CadizGranadaFriendlies Clubs1-1
2025-03-16CadizGranadaSegunda División1-0
2024-11-23GranadaCadizSegunda División0-0
2024-03-29CadizGranadaLa Liga1-0
2024-01-03GranadaCadizLa Liga2-0
2022-02-28GranadaCadizLa Liga0-0
2021-12-13CadizGranadaLa Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Granada vs Cadiz odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 27.0%, away 22.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.86 3.64 4.38
Bet365 1.85 3.50 4.20
BetVictor 1.83 3.30 4.00
Betano 1.88 3.50 4.30
Betfair 1.80 3.40 3.90
Dafabet 1.89 3.50 4.30
Marathonbet 1.80 3.54 4.25
Pinnacle 1.91 3.46 4.37
SBO 1.84 3.05 3.62
William Hill 1.83 3.30 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.84 ▼ -0.01
X 3.48 ▼ -0.14
2 4.22 ▼ -0.24

13 snapshots recorded, from .