Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 10

Leganes vs Cordoba

0 – 1 Full time

63′Patrick SokoÁlvaro Morata
63′Naim GarciaEnric Franquesa
63′Ismael GharbiDani Rodriguez
70′Álvaro Morata
71′Diego PercanVictor Sánchez Morales
71′Álex Millán
72′Yassine Kechta
76′Álex Martín
78′Diego BriSalim El Jebari
82′Álvaro TejeroRubén Peña
82′Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezSuleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
83′Eder Garcia
89′Victor Sánchez Morales
90′Eder GarciaThéo Zidane
90′Cristian CarracedoCarlos Albarran
90′Adnane Ghailan BenktibDamián Cáceres Rodríguez
90′Álvaro Morata

Municipal de Butarque, LeganesReferee: Eder Mallo Fernandez

Leganes 36%
Draw 27%
Cordoba 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 3
42 Possession % 58
4 Corners 7
15 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 3
2 Saves 2
245 Accurate passes 363

Leganes vs Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leganes vs Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeganesDrawCordoba
Model26.0%26.8%47.2%
Market38.7%27.5%33.7%
Final35.6%27.3%37.1%
Edge-3.2%-0.2%+3.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cordoba

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cordoba below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leganes ↓ / Cordoba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Leganes and Cordoba expected goals

Leganes 1.17
Cordoba 1.64

Total expected goals: 2.81

Leganes and Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Leganes

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Cordoba

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Leganes vs Cordoba: result vs prediction

Leganes 0 – 1 Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Leganes vs Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cordoba 37.1% 2.70 +3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.3% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.8% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leganes35.6%
Draw27.3%
Cordoba37.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.3%
Under 2.546.7%
Both teams to scoreYes56.7%
No43.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.9%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)64.4%
Handicap -1Cordoba win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss52.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-29.5%
0-18.7%

Leganes vs Cordoba stats

Leganes and Cordoba recent form

newest first
Leganes LLLWLD
Cordoba LWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leganes and Cordoba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Leganes record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cordoba record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Leganes vs Cordoba head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Leganes wins 1Draws 1Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14CordobaLeganesSegunda División2-1
2025-12-07LeganesCordobaSegunda División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leganes vs Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 27.5%, away 33.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.48 3.53 2.82
Bet365 2.45 3.30 2.88
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 2.70
Betano 2.37 3.50 2.92
Betfair 2.20 3.30 2.80
Dafabet 2.43 3.50 2.85
Marathonbet 2.40 3.42 2.73
Pinnacle 2.51 3.45 2.90
SBO 2.32 3.26 2.67
William Hill 2.38 3.25 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.42 ▲ +0.21
X 3.41 ▲ +0.01
2 2.79 ▼ -0.21

10 snapshots recorded, from .