Segunda División · ·Matchday 10

Leganes vs Cordoba

Garuda Lions Prediction: Cordoba

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes

Leganes 28%
Draw 27%
Cordoba 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Cordoba wins
45%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
57%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Leganes vs Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leganes vs Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeganesDrawCordoba
Model27.9%27.0%45.1%
Market———
Final27.9%27.0%45.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Cordoba

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.22.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leganes ↓ / Cordoba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Leganes and Cordoba expected goals

Leganes 1.22
Cordoba 1.60

Total expected goals: 2.82

Leganes and Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Leganes

Attack 0.61 -39%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Cordoba

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Before and after this match

Leganes vs Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cordoba 45.1% 2.22 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.6% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.5% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.9% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leganes27.9%
Draw27.0%
Cordoba45.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.6%
Under 2.546.4%
Both teams to scoreYes57.5%
No42.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.9%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)72.1%
Handicap -1Cordoba win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss54.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
1-29.3%
0-18.4%

Leganes vs Cordoba stats

Leganes and Cordoba recent form

newest first
Leganes LLWLDW
Cordoba WLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leganes and Cordoba season so far

league record

Leganes record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cordoba record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Leganes vs Cordoba head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Leganes wins 1Draws 1Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14CordobaLeganesSegunda División2-1
2025-12-07LeganesCordobaSegunda División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leganes vs Cordoba odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Cordoba Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now