Real Valladolid
vs
Eldense
2 – 3 Full time
| 23′ | Adrian Arnu | ||
| 30′ | Juan Miguel LatasaVictor Barbera | ||
| 34′ | Fidel | ||
| 41′ | Jorge Rastrojo | ||
| 45′ | Aingeru Olabarrieta | ||
| 45′ | Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda | ||
| 45′ | Justin Smith | ||
| 57′ | Víctor Fernández | ||
| 62′ | Jorge Rastrojo | ||
| 64′ | Jorge RastrojoMariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo | ||
| 64′ | Justin SmithMarcos Bustillo Aquesolo | ||
| 66′ | Álvaro Pérez CampoIván Alejo | ||
| 66′ | Thiago Ezequiel OjedaTay Abed | ||
| 72′ | Víctor Fernández | ||
| 73′ | Javi MartínezJorge Martin Camunas | ||
| 76′ | Julien PonceauKaj de Rooij | ||
| 76′ | Adrian ArnuRobin van Duiven | ||
| 78′ | Juan Larios López | ||
| 81′ | Juan Larios LópezIker Recio Ortega | ||
| 81′ | FidelManuel Nieto | ||
| 82′ | Iván Alejo | ||
| 83′ | Victor Barbera | ||
| 90′ | Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 413 | Accurate passes | 315 |
Real Valladolid vs Eldense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Valladolid vs Eldense
| Probability | Real Valladolid | Draw | Eldense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.9% | 28.2% | 27.9% |
| Market | 48.9% | 27.8% | 23.3% |
| Final | 47.7% | 27.9% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -1.3% | +0.1% | +1.1% |
Why Real Valladolid
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.14.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Valladolid and Eldense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.62
Real Valladolid and Eldense attack and defence ratings
Real Valladolid
Eldense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Valladolid vs Eldense: result vs prediction
Real Valladolid 2 – 3 Eldense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Valladolid vs Eldense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Valladolid | 47.7% | 2.10 | -1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Valladolid | 47.7% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Eldense | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Valladolid win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 9.5% | |
| 2-1 | 9.1% |
Real Valladolid vs Eldense stats
Real Valladolid and Eldense recent form
| Real Valladolid |
WDWDLW |
| Eldense |
WWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Valladolid and Eldense going into this match
Real Valladolid record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Eldense record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Real Valladolid vs Eldense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-13 | Real Valladolid | Eldense | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-04 | Eldense | Real Valladolid | Segunda División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Valladolid vs Eldense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.0%, draw 27.6%, away 23.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.46 | 4.03 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.35 | 3.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.50 | 4.24 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.02 | 3.45 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .