Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 9

Eldense vs Cordoba

2 – 1 Full time

11′Rubén González Alves
41′Carlos Guirao Mora
45′Alejandro IbarrondoJesús Clemente Corcho
55′Diego PercanEnol Rodríguez Heres
60′Manuel NietoJavi Martínez
60′Justin Smith
61′Ismael Ruiz Sánchez
62′Jorge Rastrojo
68′Eder GarciaDamián Cáceres Rodríguez
68′Diego BriKevin Villodres Medina
71′Juan Larios LópezIker Recio Ortega
71′Carlos Guirao MoraJorge Martin Camunas
84′Justin SmithMarcos Bustillo Aquesolo
87′Nelson Monte
88′Kevin Villodres Medinaibai sanz
88′Adnane Ghailan BenktibThéo Zidane
90′Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo
90′Daniel Budesca
90′Fidel

Nuevo Pepico Amat, AlicanteReferee: Marta Huerta de Aza

Eldense 45%
Draw 26%
Cordoba 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
44 Possession % 56
6 Corners 4
11 Fouls 15
4 Offsides 5
5 Saves 1
357 Accurate passes 352

Eldense vs Cordoba overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Eldense vs Cordoba

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEldenseDrawCordoba
Model52.0%24.6%23.4%
Market43.0%26.2%30.8%
Final45.2%25.8%29.0%
Edge+2.3%-0.4%-1.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Eldense

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.21.
  • The market prices Eldense below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Eldense ↓ / Cordoba → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Eldense and Cordoba expected goals

Eldense 1.88
Cordoba 1.21

Total expected goals: 3.09

Eldense and Cordoba attack and defence ratings

Eldense

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Cordoba

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Eldense vs Cordoba: result vs prediction

Eldense 2 – 1 Cordoba

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Eldense vs Cordoba markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Eldense 45.2% 2.21 +2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.6% 1.65 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.1% 2.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Eldense45.2%
Draw25.8%
Cordoba29.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to scoreYes60.6%
No39.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.0%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)54.8%
Handicap -1Eldense win30.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss48.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-19.7%
2-08.0%

Eldense vs Cordoba stats

Eldense and Cordoba recent form

newest first
Eldense WLLWDL
Cordoba WLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Eldense and Cordoba going into this match

league record before kick-off

Eldense record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Cordoba record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Eldense vs Cordoba head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Eldense wins 1Draws 1Cordoba wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-26EldenseCordobaSegunda División1-1
2024-10-26CordobaEldenseSegunda División2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Eldense vs Cordoba odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 26.2%, away 30.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.22 3.66 3.14
Bet365 2.15 3.70 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 2.90
Betano 2.07 3.45 3.05
Betfair 2.10 3.30 3.00
Dafabet 2.25 3.70 3.00
Marathonbet 2.15 3.55 3.04
Pinnacle 2.25 3.66 3.16
SBO 2.20 3.34 2.81
William Hill 2.15 3.40 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.35
X 3.52 ▼ -0.06
2 3.00 ▲ +0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .