Eldense
vs
Cordoba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Eldense
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Eldense vs Cordoba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eldense vs Cordoba
| Probability | Eldense | Draw | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.0% | 24.6% | 23.4% |
| Market | 39.5% | 25.9% | 34.6% |
| Final | 42.6% | 25.6% | 31.8% |
| Edge | +12.5% | -1.4% | -11.2% |
Why Eldense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.21.
- The market prices Eldense below the model: +12.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Eldense vs Cordoba match preview
Eldense hosts Cordoba in a Segunda División clash on October 10, 2026. Eldense has a 42% probability of winning, while Cordoba stands at 31%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Eldense, occurring at a 10% probability. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals at 56%, and both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 57%.
In terms of recent form, Eldense has recorded a mixed set of results with a record of W-L-L-W-D-L, while Cordoba has struggled, posting L-W-L-L-L-W. The expected goals indicate that Eldense is projected to score 1.84 goals, compared to Cordoba's 1.08. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eldense and Cordoba expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Eldense and Cordoba attack and defence ratings
Eldense
Cordoba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Eldense vs Cordoba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eldense | 42.6% | 2.35 | +12.5% | 2.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eldense | 42.6% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Cordoba | 31.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eldense win | 30.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 48.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Eldense vs Cordoba stats
Eldense and Cordoba recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Eldense and Cordoba season so far
Eldense record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Cordoba record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Eldense vs Cordoba head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Eldense | Cordoba | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Cordoba | Eldense | Segunda División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Eldense vs Cordoba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 25.9%, away 34.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.72 | 2.78 |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.39 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.60 | 2.69 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| SBO | 2.22 | 3.25 | 2.56 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .