Eldense
vs
Real Oviedo
4 – 1 Full time
| 1′ | Alberto Reina | ||
| 22′ | Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva | ||
| 40′ | David Jimenez | ||
| 43′ | Alex Serradell Garralaga | ||
| 45′ | Iker Recio OrtegaJuan Larios López | ||
| 45′ | Guillermo Macho MuñozRoberto López | ||
| 50′ | Juan Larios López | ||
| 56′ | Roberto López | ||
| 64′ | Samuel Rodríguez de la RivaJuan Cruz | ||
| 65′ | David JimenezAisar Ahmed | ||
| 65′ | Daniel VillahermosaEnzo Pérez Miranda | ||
| 65′ | Roberto LópezAingeru Olabarrieta | ||
| 67′ | Pablo Saenz | ||
| 68′ | Fidel | ||
| 71′ | FidelMarcos Bustillo Aquesolo | ||
| 71′ | Carlos Dominguez | ||
| 73′ | Youness Lachhab DidiVíctor García Mingo | ||
| 76′ | Waldo RubioJorge Rastrojo | ||
| 83′ | Juan CruzNacho Vidal | ||
| 90′ | Aingeru Olabarrieta | ||
| 90′ | Jorge Rastrojo |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 330 | Accurate passes | 270 |
Eldense vs Real Oviedo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eldense vs Real Oviedo
| Probability | Eldense | Draw | Real Oviedo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 37.0% | 31.5% |
| Market | 37.6% | 31.0% | 31.4% |
| Final | 36.1% | 32.5% | 31.4% |
| Edge | -6.1% | +6.0% | +0.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eldense and Real Oviedo expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.67
Eldense and Real Oviedo attack and defence ratings
Eldense
Real Oviedo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eldense vs Real Oviedo: result vs prediction
Eldense 4 – 1 Real Oviedo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Eldense vs Real Oviedo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eldense | 36.1% | 2.77 | -6.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eldense | 36.1% |
| Draw | 32.5% | |
| Real Oviedo | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.4% |
| No | 66.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eldense win | 11.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 68.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.4% | |
| 1-0 | 14.4% |
Eldense vs Real Oviedo stats
Eldense and Real Oviedo recent form
| Eldense |
LLWDLD |
| Real Oviedo |
WLWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Eldense and Real Oviedo going into this match
Eldense record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Oviedo record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Eldense vs Real Oviedo head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | Real Oviedo | Eldense | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Eldense | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-04 | Real Oviedo | Eldense | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-01 | Eldense | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Eldense vs Real Oviedo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 31.0%, away 31.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.55 | 3.11 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.47 | 3.02 | 2.96 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 3.07 | 3.10 |
| SBO | 2.43 | 2.89 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 2.88 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .