Segunda División · 2026-10-04T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Real Sociedad II vs Granada

2 – 3 Full time

11′			Diego Hormigo
28′			Gorka Gorosabel
29′			Gorka Carrera Zarranz
35′			Benedikt Gimber
45′			Chinaza OnouhaSergio Rodelas Pintor
45′			Diego HormigoPedro Alemañ Serna
45′			Benedikt GimberMario Jiménez Gambín
45′			Ángelo GarcíaDiego Varela Pampín
56′			Jon Garro
63′			José Manuel Arnáiz
66′			Jon Balda
66′			Dani DiazAlex Lebarbier
69′			José Manuel Arnáiz
69′			Ibai AguirreJon Eceizabarrena
69′			Iker RoperoUnax Larrañaga
72′			Alex Lebarbier
81′			Tomy CarbonellJoan Oleaga
81′			Iker CalderonUnax Agote
84′			José Manuel ArnáizJorge Pascual
90′			Jorge Pascual

Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San SebastianReferee: Andres Fuentes Molina

Real Sociedad II

40%

Draw

28%

Granada

32%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

17	Shots	23
6	Shots on target	5
47	Possession %	53
1	Corners	7
15	Fouls	9
1	Offsides	3
2	Saves	4
360	Accurate passes	399

Real Sociedad II vs Granada overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Sociedad II vs Granada

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Real Sociedad II	Draw	Granada
Model	47.2%	25.9%	26.9%
Market	37.9%	28.7%	33.3%
Final	40.3%	28.0%	31.7%
Edge	+9.3%	-2.8%	-6.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Real Sociedad II

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.26.
The market prices Real Sociedad II below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

94%

2+ goals

81%

3+ goals

57%

No goals

Real Sociedad II and Granada expected goals

Real Sociedad II

1.72

Granada

1.26

Total expected goals: 2.98

Real Sociedad II and Granada attack and defence ratings

Real Sociedad II

Attack

0.92 -8%

Defence

1.10 +10%

Granada

Attack

0.97 -3%

Defence

1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Sociedad II vs Granada: result vs prediction

Real Sociedad II 2 – 3 Granada

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Segunda División

Eldense v Real Oviedo — match page · 2026-10-02
Albacete vs Eibar · 2026-10-03
Almeria v Burgos — match page · 2026-10-03
Cadiz vs Leganes — team news & stats · 2026-10-03
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II · 2026-10-04
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid · 2026-10-04
Castellón v AD Ceuta FC — match page · 2026-10-04
Girona v Mallorca — match page · 2026-10-04

Before and after this match

Real Sociedad II, previous: AD Ceuta FC – Real Sociedad II, 2026-09-26
Real Sociedad II, next: Celta de Vigo II vs Real Sociedad II prediction
Granada, previous: Granada v FC Andorra analysis
Granada, next: Burgos – Granada, 2026-10-12

Real Sociedad II vs Granada markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Real Sociedad II	40.3%	2.48	+9.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.2%	1.75	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	59.9%	1.67	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.0%	1.39	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	52.8%	1.89	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Real Sociedad II	40.3%
	Draw	28.0%
	Granada	31.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	57.2%
	Under 2.5	42.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	59.9%
	No	40.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	68.3%
	12 (either side)	72.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.7%
Handicap -1	Real Sociedad II win	26.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.2%
	Loss	52.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	12.1%
	2-1	9.5%
	1-0	7.6%

Real Sociedad II vs Granada stats

Real Sociedad II and Granada recent form

newest first

Real Sociedad II	LLWDDW
Granada	LLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Sociedad II and Granada going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Sociedad II record

They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Granada record

They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Sociedad II vs Granada head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Real Sociedad II wins 0Draws 2Granada wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-03-22	Real Sociedad II	Granada	Segunda División	0-2
2025-10-04	Granada	Real Sociedad II	Segunda División	5-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Sociedad II vs Granada odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.9%, draw 28.7%, away 33.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.54	3.34	2.87
Bet365	2.50	3.20	2.80
BetVictor	2.40	3.25	2.70
Betano	2.57	3.30	2.80
Betfair	2.40	3.30	2.60
Marathonbet	2.46	3.24	2.78
Pinnacle	2.54	3.29	2.97
SBO	2.39	3.02	2.49
William Hill	2.40	3.00	2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.46 ▲ +0.07

X 3.25 ▼ -0.03

2 2.80 ▼ -0.04

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-28T08:10:02Z.