Segunda División · 2026-10-03T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Albacete vs Eibar

1 – 3 Full time

3′			Roberto Gonzalez Bayon
45′			Víctor San BartoloméJesús Vallejo
48′			Ander Madariaga Susaeta
51′			Lluís Lopez
59′			Iván GilJon Magunazelaia
66′			Lluís Lopez
67′			Mario Soberon GutierrezHiginio Marín
67′			Victor Valverde da SilvaMunir El Haddadi
67′			Roberto Gonzalez BayonÁlex Rubio Roldán
69′			Alvaro RodriguezSergio Cubero
69′			Jon BautistaJavier Martón Ansó
73′			Agustin Medina Delgado
77′			Malcom Ares
79′			Agustin Medina DelgadoAgustin Albarracin Basil
85′			jon guruzetaJair Amador
85′			Malcom AresPejiño
90′			Pejiño

Carlos Belmonte, AlbaceteReferee: Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos

Albacete

31%

Draw

27%

Eibar

43%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

22	Shots	8
6	Shots on target	6
51	Possession %	49
6	Corners	0
10	Fouls	11
1	Offsides	1
4	Saves	5
328	Accurate passes	352

Albacete vs Eibar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Albacete vs Eibar

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Albacete	Draw	Eibar
Model	16.5%	24.3%	59.2%
Market	35.5%	27.5%	36.9%
Final	30.8%	26.7%	42.5%
Edge	-19.0%	-3.3%	+22.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Eibar

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.89.
Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Eibar below the model: +22.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

77%

3+ goals

52%

No goals

Albacete and Eibar expected goals

Albacete

0.89

Eibar

1.87

Total expected goals: 2.76

Albacete and Eibar attack and defence ratings

Albacete

Attack

0.77 -23%

Defence

1.13 +13%

Eibar

Attack

1.41 +41%

Defence

0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Albacete vs Eibar: result vs prediction

Albacete 1 – 3 Eibar

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Segunda División

Eldense v Real Oviedo — match page · 2026-10-02
Almeria v Burgos — match page · 2026-10-03
Cadiz vs Leganes — team news & stats · 2026-10-03
Real Sociedad II vs Granada — team news & stats · 2026-10-04
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II · 2026-10-04
Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid · 2026-10-04
Castellón v AD Ceuta FC — match page · 2026-10-04
Girona v Mallorca — match page · 2026-10-04

Before and after this match

Albacete, previous: Girona – Albacete, 2026-09-25
Albacete, next: Real Valladolid vs Albacete: odds and pick
Eibar, previous: Eibar vs Las Palmas prediction
Eibar, next: Real Oviedo – Eibar, 2026-10-12

Albacete vs Eibar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Eibar	42.5%	2.35	+22.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.2%	1.92	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	51.0%	1.96	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.3%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	40.8%	2.45	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Albacete	30.8%
	Draw	26.7%
	Eibar	42.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.2%
	Under 2.5	47.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	51.0%
	No	49.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	57.5%
	12 (either side)	73.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	69.2%
Handicap -1	Eibar win	35.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.7%
	Loss	40.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.6%
	0-2	11.0%
	0-1	10.7%

Albacete vs Eibar stats

Albacete and Eibar recent form

newest first

Albacete	LLDLLL
Eibar	WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Albacete and Eibar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Albacete record

They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Eibar record

They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Albacete vs Eibar head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Albacete wins 3Draws 3Eibar wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-24	Albacete	Eibar	Segunda División	0-3
2025-11-08	Eibar	Albacete	Segunda División	3-2
2025-01-18	Eibar	Albacete	Segunda División	1-1
2024-09-09	Albacete	Eibar	Segunda División	0-1
2024-04-28	Albacete	Eibar	Segunda División	2-1
2023-11-12	Eibar	Albacete	Segunda División	1-1
2023-04-14	Albacete	Eibar	Segunda División	3-1
2022-10-23	Eibar	Albacete	Segunda División	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Albacete vs Eibar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 27.5%, away 36.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.70	3.48	2.60
Bet365	2.55	3.50	2.55
BetVictor	2.55	3.30	2.50
Betano	2.62	3.50	2.62
Betfair	2.50	3.30	2.45
Marathonbet	2.62	3.38	2.52
Pinnacle	2.67	3.60	2.63
SBO	2.71	3.17	2.35
William Hill	2.50	3.25	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 ▲ +0.11

X 3.38 ▼ -0.04

2 2.52 ▼ -0.33

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-27T08:10:01Z.