Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 7

Girona vs Albacete

2 – 0 Full time

6′Abel Ruíz
43′Donny van de Beek
45′Javi VillarSergio Ortuno Diaz
52′Victor Valverde da Silva
53′Sergio Ortuno Diaz
66′Abel RuízJuan Arango
66′Donny van de BeekAbdul Mumin
66′Victor Valverde da SilvaHiginio Marín
67′Fran Gámez
74′Antonio Pacheco RuizRoberto Gonzalez Bayon
74′Fran GámezAgustin Albarracin Basil
77′Javi SarasaUnai Hernández
80′Higinio Marín
84′Álex MorenoMateu Morey
84′Carles PérezPortu
90′Sergio Ortuno Diaz

Estadi Montilivi, GironaReferee: Saul Ais Reig

Girona 61%
Draw 23%
Albacete 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 5
56 Possession % 44
3 Corners 5
8 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 2
6 Saves 1
449 Accurate passes 315

Girona vs Albacete overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Girona vs Albacete

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGironaDrawAlbacete
Model55.5%25.1%19.3%
Market62.5%22.0%15.5%
Final60.7%22.8%16.4%
Edge-6.9%+3.1%+3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Girona

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Girona ↓ / Albacete → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Girona and Albacete expected goals

Girona 1.81
Albacete 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.80

Girona and Albacete attack and defence ratings

Girona

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Albacete

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Girona vs Albacete: result vs prediction

Girona 2 – 0 Albacete

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Girona vs Albacete markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Girona 60.7% 1.65 -6.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.0% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.5% 2.25 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Girona60.7%
Draw22.8%
Albacete16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.0%
Under 2.547.0%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)39.3%
Handicap -1Girona win32.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss44.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
2-010.0%
1-09.9%

Girona vs Albacete stats

Girona and Albacete recent form

newest first
Girona WLWWLD
Albacete LDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Girona and Albacete going into this match

league record before kick-off

Girona record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Albacete record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.

Girona vs Albacete head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Girona wins 1Draws 1Albacete wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-03-28GironaAlbaceteSegunda División2-1
2020-12-06AlbaceteGironaSegunda División0-2
2020-03-07GironaAlbaceteSegunda División1-1
2019-08-23AlbaceteGironaSegunda División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Girona vs Albacete odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.2%, draw 22.2%, away 15.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.51 4.59 6.24
Bet365 1.50 4.20 6.00
BetVictor 1.45 4.20 6.00
Betano 1.53 4.25 6.20
Betfair 1.44 4.10 5.50
Marathonbet 1.46 4.45 6.05
Pinnacle 1.52 4.59 6.15
SBO 1.48 4.10 5.32
William Hill 1.50 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.07
X 4.25 ▲ +0.05
2 6.05 ▲ +1.05

11 snapshots recorded, from .