Mallorca
vs
Almeria
0 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | Miguel Calatayud García | ||
| 32′ | Antoniu RocaJosep Cerda | ||
| 35′ | Miguel De La Fuente | ||
| 37′ | Javier Muñoz Jiménez | ||
| 45′ | Manuel MorlanesSergi Darder | ||
| 62′ | Adrian LisoArnau Puigmal | ||
| 64′ | Josep Cerda | ||
| 65′ | Adrián EmbarbaMarcos Luna | ||
| 71′ | Aboubaka Soumahoro | ||
| 74′ | Aboubaka SoumahoroAlberto Moreno | ||
| 74′ | Miguel Calatayud GarcíaAdam Buksa | ||
| 79′ | Quim junyentNicolás Melamed Ribaudo | ||
| 79′ | Daijiro ChirinoÁlex Sola | ||
| 83′ | Andrés Fernández | ||
| 86′ | Antonio José Raíllo Arenas | ||
| 90′ | Pablo Torre | ||
| 90′ | Federico Bonini | ||
| 90′ | John Donald |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 377 | Accurate passes | 320 |
Mallorca vs Almeria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mallorca vs Almeria
| Probability | Mallorca | Draw | Almeria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 33.2% | 24.7% |
| Market | 45.2% | 29.0% | 25.8% |
| Final | 44.5% | 30.1% | 25.5% |
| Edge | -3.2% | +4.3% | -1.1% |
Why Mallorca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.81.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mallorca and Almeria expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
Mallorca and Almeria attack and defence ratings
Mallorca
Almeria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mallorca vs Almeria: result vs prediction
Mallorca 0 – 1 Almeria
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mallorca vs Almeria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 44.5% | 2.25 | -3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mallorca | 44.5% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Almeria | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.4% |
| No | 60.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mallorca win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-0 | 14.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Mallorca vs Almeria stats
Mallorca and Almeria recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mallorca and Almeria going into this match
Mallorca record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Almeria record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mallorca vs Almeria head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-19 | Mallorca | Almeria | La Liga | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-17 | Almeria | Mallorca | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Almeria | Mallorca | La Liga | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Mallorca | Almeria | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2021-02-21 | Mallorca | Almeria | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2020-12-03 | Almeria | Mallorca | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2019-05-19 | Mallorca | Almeria | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2019-01-06 | Almeria | Mallorca | Segunda División | 2-0 |
| 2017-05-20 | Mallorca | Almeria | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2016-12-11 | Almeria | Mallorca | Segunda División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mallorca vs Almeria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 29.0%, away 25.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.82 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.22 | 3.96 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .