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Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 6

Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca

0 – 1 Full time

33′Tomy Carbonell
45′Miguel Calatayud GarcíaArnau Puigmal
52′Ibai Aguirre
56′Aboubaka Soumahoro
58′Manuel Morlanes
63′Adrian LisoAntoniu Roca
63′Alex SalaJosep Cerda
67′Ibai AguirreAlex Lebarbier
67′Iker RoperoUnax Agote
69′Antonio José Raíllo ArenasJohn Donald
72′Dani DiazAndrews Adjabeng
72′Jon BaldaUnax Larrañaga
73′Pablo TorreAdam Buksa
81′Adrian Fuentes
82′Gorka GorosabelArkaitz Mariezkurrena
88′Adam Buksa

Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San SebastianReferee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas

Real Sociedad II 25%
Draw 28%
Mallorca 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 1
40 Possession % 60
5 Corners 3
15 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 3
0 Saves 2
240 Accurate passes 403

Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal Sociedad IIDrawMallorca
Model28.2%31.4%40.4%
Market23.6%26.5%49.9%
Final24.7%27.7%47.5%
Edge+4.6%+4.9%-9.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Mallorca

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Sociedad ↓ / Mallorca → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 12% 8% 1 9% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Real Sociedad II and Mallorca expected goals

Real Sociedad II 0.98
Mallorca 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.21

Real Sociedad II and Mallorca attack and defence ratings

Real Sociedad II

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Mallorca

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca: result vs prediction

Real Sociedad II 0 – 1 Mallorca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mallorca 47.5% 2.10 -9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.9% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score No 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Sociedad II24.7%
Draw27.7%
Mallorca47.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.1%
Under 2.561.9%
Both teams to scoreYes45.6%
No54.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.5%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)75.3%
Handicap -1Mallorca win18.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-012.3%
0-112.1%

Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca stats

Real Sociedad II and Mallorca recent form

newest first
Real Sociedad II WDDWLD
Mallorca WDWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Sociedad II and Mallorca going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Sociedad II record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mallorca record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.6%, draw 26.5%, away 49.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.07 3.72 1.90
Bet365 4.20 3.50 1.85
BetVictor 3.90 3.40 1.83
Betano 4.05 3.50 1.93
Betfair 3.60 3.40 1.90
Marathonbet 3.94 3.60 1.84
Pinnacle 4.07 3.75 1.89
SBO 3.45 3.09 1.86
William Hill 3.80 3.40 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.94 ▲ +0.53
X 3.50 ▲ +0.04
2 1.86 ▼ -0.31

13 snapshots recorded, from .