Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 6

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo

3 – 1 Full time

23′Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez
44′Óscar Sanz
45′Aisar AhmedEstanis Pedrola
45′Alexandru Mihai IsfanMikel Goti Lopez
45′Youness Lachhab DidiChris Ramos
58′Gastón Joaquín Valles VelázquezNikolay Obolskiy
65′Daniel Villahermosa
67′Alberto Reina
70′Miki CodinaÁngel Baena
70′Joel PriegoJavi López-Pinto
70′José Luis CatalàEneko Aguilar
70′Juan CruzSamuel Rodríguez de la Riva
71′Ton Ripoll
78′Ángel Baena
80′Ton RipollPipa
80′Daniel VillahermosaEnzo Pérez Miranda
84′Carlos Dominguez
90′Nikolay Obolskiy

Nova Creu Alta, SabadellReferee: Morilla Turrion, Alejandro

Sabadell 41%
Draw 33%
Real Oviedo 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
44 Possession % 56
5 Corners 1
18 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 0
1 Saves 4
232 Accurate passes 362

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sabadell vs Real Oviedo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySabadellDrawReal Oviedo
Model35.8%37.7%26.5%
Market42.2%32.0%25.8%
Final40.6%33.4%26.0%
Edge-6.4%+5.7%+0.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sabadell ↓ / Real Oviedo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 13% 1 17% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 49%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

Sabadell and Real Oviedo expected goals

Sabadell 0.88
Real Oviedo 0.72

Total expected goals: 1.60

Sabadell and Real Oviedo attack and defence ratings

Sabadell

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Real Oviedo

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo: result vs prediction

Sabadell 3 – 1 Real Oviedo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sabadell 40.6% 2.46 -6.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 78.3% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score No 68.6% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.2% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sabadell40.6%
Draw33.4%
Real Oviedo26.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.521.7%
Under 2.578.3%
Both teams to scoreYes31.4%
No68.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.0%
12 (either side)66.6%
X2 (draw or away)59.4%
Handicap -1Sabadell win13.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss64.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.4%
1-016.5%
1-114.1%

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo stats

Sabadell and Real Oviedo recent form

newest first
Sabadell LWWDDL
Real Oviedo WDWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sabadell and Real Oviedo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sabadell record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Oviedo record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Sabadell wins 0Draws 2Real Oviedo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-05-09Real OviedoSabadellSegunda División2-1
2020-12-06SabadellReal OviedoSegunda División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sabadell vs Real Oviedo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 32.0%, away 25.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.24 3.08 3.69
Bet365 2.20 3.00 3.60
BetVictor 2.15 2.90 3.50
Betano 2.30 2.90 3.70
Betfair 2.15 2.75 3.60
Marathonbet 2.17 2.99 3.58
Pinnacle 2.25 3.04 3.84
SBO 2.24 2.81 3.24
William Hill 2.15 2.80 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.20
X 2.90 ▼ -0.10
2 3.60 ▲ +0.18

14 snapshots recorded, from .