Segunda División · 2026-09-13T14:15:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo

0 – 3 Full time

12′			Dani Calvo
23′			Iván Alejo
25′			Carlos Dominguez
27′			Álvaro Aceves
30′			Youness Lachhab Didi
45′			Alberto ReinaEnzo Pérez Miranda
53′			Dani Calvo
55′			Kaj de RooijVíctor Fernández
55′			Tay AbedYeray Cabanzón
56′			Pablo Saenz
62′			Alexandru Mihai IsfanEstanis Pedrola
62′			Mikel Goti LopezJacobo González
69′			Alejandro Balboa BandeiraStanko Jurić
69′			Julien PonceauJuan Miguel Latasa
77′			Pablo SaenzDavid Jimenez
80′			Robin van DuivenVictor Barbera
83′			Daniel VillahermosaDiego Menéndez

José Zorrilla, ValladolidReferee: Iosu Galech Apezteguia, Spain

Real Valladolid

37%

Draw

34%

Real Oviedo

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	12
1	Shots on target	6
60	Possession %	40
2	Corners	3
10	Fouls	12
0	Offsides	7
4	Saves	1
433	Accurate passes	287

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Real Valladolid	Draw	Real Oviedo
Model	34.4%	42.8%	22.7%
Market	38.3%	31.5%	30.2%
Final	37.3%	34.4%	28.3%
Edge	-3.8%	+11.3%	-7.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

70%

2+ goals

37%

3+ goals

13%

No goals

30%

Real Valladolid and Real Oviedo expected goals

Real Valladolid

0.72

Real Oviedo

0.53

Total expected goals: 1.25

Real Valladolid and Real Oviedo attack and defence ratings

Real Valladolid

Attack

0.61 -39%

Defence

0.89 -11%

Real Oviedo

Attack

0.51 -49%

Defence

0.82 -18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo: result vs prediction

Real Valladolid 0 – 3 Real Oviedo

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Segunda División

Burgos v AD Ceuta FC — match page · 2026-09-11
FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Cadiz vs Las Palmas — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Girona vs Castellón · 2026-09-12
Granada vs Albacete — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Cordoba v Almeria — match page · 2026-09-12
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense · 2026-09-13
Mallorca v Sabadell — match page · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Real Valladolid, previous: Real Valladolid – FC Andorra, 2026-09-05
Real Valladolid, next: AD Ceuta FC v Real Valladolid analysis
Real Oviedo, previous: Real Oviedo – Burgos, 2026-09-06
Real Oviedo, next: Sabadell vs Real Oviedo prediction

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Real Valladolid	37.3%	2.68	-3.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	86.8%	1.15	—	—
Both teams to score	No	77.7%	1.29	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	71.7%	1.40	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	65.6%	1.52	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Real Valladolid	37.3%
	Draw	34.4%
	Real Oviedo	28.3%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	13.2%
	Under 2.5	86.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	22.3%
	No	77.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	71.7%
	12 (either side)	65.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.7%
Handicap -1	Real Valladolid win	10.7%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.7%
	Loss	65.6%
Correct score (top 3)	0-0	29.7%
	1-0	19.5%
	0-1	14.1%

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo stats

Real Valladolid and Real Oviedo recent form

newest first

Real Valladolid	WDLLLL
Real Oviedo	DWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Real Valladolid wins 0Draws 2Real Oviedo wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2024-02-23	Real Valladolid	Real Oviedo	Segunda División	3-0
2023-09-24	Real Oviedo	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	0-1
2022-03-13	Real Oviedo	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	3-0
2021-12-12	Real Valladolid	Real Oviedo	Segunda División	2-1
2018-04-20	Real Oviedo	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	1-2
2017-11-18	Real Valladolid	Real Oviedo	Segunda División	3-1
2017-01-21	Real Oviedo	Real Valladolid	Segunda División	1-0
2016-08-21	Real Valladolid	Real Oviedo	Segunda División	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 31.5%, away 30.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.36	3.00	3.20
1xBet	2.50	3.06	3.17
Bet365	2.45	3.00	3.10
BetVictor	2.40	2.90	3.00
Betano	2.52	2.95	3.20
Betfair	2.40	2.90	2.80
Marathonbet	2.43	2.97	3.08
Pinnacle	2.55	2.98	3.21
SBO	2.25	2.77	2.90
Unibet	2.48	2.90	2.80
William Hill	2.38	2.88	3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.43 ▼ -0.13

X 2.95 ▼ -0.17

2 3.08 ▲ +0.06

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T08:10:02Z.