Real Oviedo
vs
Burgos
0 – 0 Full time
| 26′ | Aritz Aldasoro | ||
| 29′ | Aarón Escandell | ||
| 32′ | Alberto Reina | ||
| 58′ | Jacobo GonzálezEnzo Pérez Miranda | ||
| 58′ | Álex ForésUnai Vencedor | ||
| 58′ | Pablo GaldamesJon Karrikaburu | ||
| 67′ | Jon Karrikaburu | ||
| 69′ | Grego Sierra | ||
| 72′ | Daniel VillahermosaYouness Lachhab Didi | ||
| 72′ | CurroVictor Mollejo | ||
| 72′ | Alexandru Mihai IsfanVíctor García Mingo | ||
| 72′ | José GrageraKevin Appin | ||
| 75′ | Aisar AhmedEstanis Pedrola | ||
| 75′ | Pablo SaenzDavid Jimenez | ||
| 81′ | Grego SierraSaul Del Cerro Garcia | ||
| 85′ | Alberto Dadie | ||
| 87′ | Estanis Pedrola | ||
| 90′ | Victor Mollejo |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 26 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 222 | Accurate passes | 386 |
Real Oviedo vs Burgos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Oviedo vs Burgos
| Probability | Real Oviedo | Draw | Burgos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.9% | 32.6% | 44.5% |
| Market | 49.4% | 29.2% | 21.4% |
| Final | 42.8% | 30.0% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -26.6% | +3.4% | +23.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Oviedo and Burgos expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
Real Oviedo and Burgos attack and defence ratings
Real Oviedo
Burgos
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Oviedo vs Burgos: result vs prediction
Real Oviedo 0 – 0 Burgos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Oviedo vs Burgos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Oviedo | 42.8% | 2.34 | -26.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Oviedo | 42.8% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Burgos | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.5% |
| No | 60.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Oviedo win | 7.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 77.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.1% |
| 0-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Real Oviedo vs Burgos stats
Real Oviedo and Burgos recent form
| Real Oviedo |
WLDLLL |
| Burgos |
DLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Oviedo vs Burgos head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-22 | Burgos | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-03 | Real Oviedo | Burgos | Segunda División | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-17 | Real Oviedo | Burgos | Segunda División | 5-0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Burgos | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-12 | Real Oviedo | Burgos | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-10 | Burgos | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-27 | Real Oviedo | Burgos | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-20 | Burgos | Real Oviedo | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-21 | Real Oviedo | Burgos | Segunda División | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Oviedo vs Burgos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.7%, draw 29.4%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.93 | 3.15 | 4.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.29 | 4.53 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.20 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 3.21 | 4.66 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 2.80 | 3.58 |
| Superbet | 2.00 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| Unibet | 1.96 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .