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Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 4

AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II

0 – 2 Full time

24′Alexis Olmedo
42′Joaquín González
43′A. Capdevila
46′J. EscobarA. Caparros
46′J. GonzalezA. Osoro
46′Y. BodigerO. Sadik
46′A. OlmedoP. Meixus
59′C. TeguiaMatos Jose
65′A. ArcosB. Somuah
66′A. MarinH. F. Cuenca Martinez
69′Kike Ribes
72′Carlos Hernández
72′Anxo Rodríguez
76′A. PetxaU. Konare
79′Hugo Cuenca
82′M. SobralS. M. Ndiaye
83′Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye
89′Albert Caparrós
90′G. MillaP. Gavian
90′B. Somuah

Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, CeutaReferee: Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain

AD Ceuta FC 41%
Draw 26%
Celta de Vigo II 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
48 Possession % 52
8 Corners 4
22 Fouls 19
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 6
299 Accurate passes 353

AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAD Ceuta FCDrawCelta de Vigo II
Model22.4%25.3%52.2%
Market46.8%26.9%26.3%
Final40.7%26.5%32.8%
Edge-24.3%-1.5%+25.9%

Confidence: Low

Why AD Ceuta FC

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AD Ceuta FC ↓ / Celta de Vigo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 9% 1 12% 10% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

AD Ceuta FC and Celta de Vigo II expected goals

AD Ceuta FC 1.12
Celta de Vigo II 1.80

Total expected goals: 2.91

AD Ceuta FC and Celta de Vigo II attack and defence ratings

AD Ceuta FC

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Celta de Vigo II

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II: result vs prediction

AD Ceuta FC 0 – 2 Celta de Vigo II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AD Ceuta FC 40.7% 2.46 -24.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.7% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.6% 1.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AD Ceuta FC40.7%
Draw26.5%
Celta de Vigo II32.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.7%
Under 2.544.3%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.2%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)59.3%
Handicap -1AD Ceuta FC win9.0%
Push (exactly one goal)13.5%
Loss77.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-29.8%
0-28.8%

AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II stats

AD Ceuta FC and Celta de Vigo II recent form

newest first
AD Ceuta FC LLLWWL
Celta de Vigo II LWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0AD Ceuta FC wins 1Draws 1Celta de Vigo II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-05-20Celta de Vigo IIAD Ceuta FCPrimera División RFEF - Group 11-1
2022-09-18AD Ceuta FCCelta de Vigo IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 11-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 27.1%, away 26.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.08 3.45 3.35
1xBet 2.07 3.54 3.62
Bet365 2.00 3.50 3.60
BetVictor 2.00 3.50 3.30
Betano 2.07 3.45 3.60
Betfair 2.00 3.40 3.30
Dafabet 2.09 3.45 3.55
Marathonbet 2.01 3.44 3.52
Pinnacle 2.10 3.48 3.69
SBO 2.01 3.04 3.09
Superbet 2.10 3.45 3.55
Unibet 1.92 3.30 3.55
William Hill 2.00 3.25 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.04
X 3.49 ▲ +0.09
2 3.56 ▲ +0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from .