Segunda División · 2026-09-14T18:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar

0 – 4 Full time

9′			Jon Magunazelaia
13′			Malcom Ares
16′			Malcom Ares
20′			jon guruzeta
32′			Alexis Olmedo VilaHugo Cuenca
33′			Frank Germain Jonathan Miller
43′			jon guruzeta
45′			Fredi
45′			Frank Germain Jonathan MillerPablo Gavián Alonso
45′			Mateo Sobral SabajanesVladimir Henrique Silva
45′			Malcom AresAlvaro Rodriguez
52′			Adrià Capdevila
53′			Fredi
59′			Jon MagunazelaiaIván Gil
60′			Jon BautistaJavier Martón Ansó
63′			Sergio Cubero
64′			Unai Elgezabal Udondo
66′			Sergio CuberoPejiño
69′			Alvaro·Marin SesmaBernard Sarpong Somuah
69′			Enrique Ribes RecajPablo González Meixús
78′			Pablo González Meixús
82′			Anaitz Arbilla
87′			jon guruzetaElijah Gift Izobodo John

Municipal de Barreiro, VigoReferee: Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez, Spain

Celta de Vigo II

30%

Draw

30%

Eibar

40%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

24	Shots	12
9	Shots on target	7
65	Possession %	35
5	Corners	1
8	Fouls	13
0	Offsides	1
3	Saves	9
590	Accurate passes	237

Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Celta de Vigo II	Draw	Eibar
Model	35.6%	29.7%	34.7%
Market	28.7%	29.8%	41.5%
Final	30.4%	29.8%	39.8%
Edge	+6.9%	-0.1%	-6.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Eibar

Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

72%

3+ goals

45%

No goals

10%

Celta de Vigo II and Eibar expected goals

Celta de Vigo II

1.25

Eibar

1.23

Total expected goals: 2.48

Celta de Vigo II and Eibar attack and defence ratings

Celta de Vigo II

Attack

1.17 +17%

Defence

0.90 -10%

Eibar

Attack

1.18 +18%

Defence

0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar: result vs prediction

Celta de Vigo II 0 – 4 Eibar

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Segunda División

Burgos v AD Ceuta FC — match page · 2026-09-11
FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Cadiz vs Las Palmas — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Girona vs Castellón · 2026-09-12
Granada vs Albacete — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Cordoba v Almeria — match page · 2026-09-12
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense · 2026-09-13
Real Valladolid v Real Oviedo — match page · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Celta de Vigo II, previous: AD Ceuta FC v Celta de Vigo II analysis
Celta de Vigo II, next: Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II: odds and pick
Eibar, previous: Eibar vs Granada prediction
Eibar, next: Eldense – Eibar, 2026-09-19

Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Eibar	39.8%	2.51	-6.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	54.8%	1.83	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	51.9%	1.93	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.2%	1.42	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	65.3%	1.53	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Celta de Vigo II	30.4%
	Draw	29.8%
	Eibar	39.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.2%
	Under 2.5	54.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	51.9%
	No	48.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	60.2%
	12 (either side)	70.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	69.6%
Handicap -1	Eibar win	15.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.2%
	Loss	65.3%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.2%
	0-0	9.6%
	1-0	9.1%

Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar stats

Celta de Vigo II and Eibar recent form

newest first

Celta de Vigo II	WLWD
Eibar	WWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Celta de Vigo II vs Eibar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.6%, draw 29.7%, away 41.7%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	3.40	3.10	2.20
1xBet	3.34	3.25	2.30
888Sport	3.20	3.10	2.25
Bet365	3.30	3.20	2.25
BetVictor	3.10	3.20	2.15
Betano	3.35	3.10	2.32
Betfair	3.00	3.10	2.20
Dafabet	3.45	3.20	2.23
Marathonbet	3.25	3.16	2.23
Pinnacle	3.51	3.13	2.34
SBO	2.85	2.87	2.21
Unibet	3.00	3.15	2.23
William Hill	3.00	3.10	2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.25 ▼ -0.12

X 3.13 —

2 2.25 ▲ +0.05

15 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T16:10:02Z.