Eldense
vs
Eibar
1 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | Jon Magunazelaia | ||
| 30′ | Manuel Nieto | ||
| 45′ | Juan BernatMarkel Arana Mateo | ||
| 52′ | Jon Bautista | ||
| 54′ | Malcom Ares | ||
| 59′ | Jon BautistaJavier Martón Ansó | ||
| 59′ | Malcom Aresjon guruzeta | ||
| 63′ | Iván Gil | ||
| 66′ | David RuizJuan Larios López | ||
| 66′ | Roberto LópezGuillermo Macho Muñoz | ||
| 72′ | Iván GilLucas Nuñez Ramirez | ||
| 73′ | Manuel NietoJorge Rastrojo | ||
| 73′ | Carlos Guirao MoraJavi Martínez | ||
| 75′ | FidelWaldo Rubio | ||
| 76′ | Justin Smith | ||
| 77′ | Justin Smith | ||
| 86′ | Jon MagunazelaiaJair Amador | ||
| 90′ | jon guruzeta | ||
| 90′ | Lucas Nuñez Ramirez |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 538 | Accurate passes | 263 |
Eldense vs Eibar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eldense vs Eibar
| Probability | Eldense | Draw | Eibar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.0% | 30.3% | 49.7% |
| Market | 31.7% | 30.1% | 38.2% |
| Final | 28.8% | 30.1% | 41.1% |
| Edge | -11.7% | +0.3% | +11.4% |
Why Eibar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Eibar below the model: +11.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eldense and Eibar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Eldense and Eibar attack and defence ratings
Eldense
Eibar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eldense vs Eibar: result vs prediction
Eldense 1 – 2 Eibar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Eldense vs Eibar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eibar | 41.1% | 2.43 | +11.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eldense | 28.8% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Eibar | 41.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.5% |
| No | 58.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eibar win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Eldense vs Eibar stats
Eldense and Eibar recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Eldense and Eibar going into this match
Eldense record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Eibar record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Eldense vs Eibar head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Eldense | Eibar | Segunda División | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-12 | Eibar | Eldense | Segunda División | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Eibar | Eldense | Segunda División | 5-1 |
| 2023-08-28 | Eldense | Eibar | Segunda División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Eldense vs Eibar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 30.0%, away 38.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.53 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.13 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.91 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05 | 3.17 | 2.57 |
| SBO | 2.62 | 2.88 | 2.36 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 2.90 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .