AD Ceuta FC
vs
Real Valladolid
1 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Juan Miguel Latasa | ||
| 31′ | Carlos Hernández | ||
| 45′ | Arick BetancourtJosé Antonio Abad Martínez | ||
| 45′ | Mawuli Kwame Mensah VadzeYann Bodiger | ||
| 53′ | Juan Miguel Latasa | ||
| 64′ | Alejandro MeléndezOmar Sadik | ||
| 64′ | Alejandro Camacho RamírezJordi Escobar | ||
| 70′ | Julien PonceauAlejandro Balboa Bandeira | ||
| 70′ | Víctor FernándezKaj de Rooij | ||
| 70′ | Adrian ArnuYeray Cabanzón | ||
| 70′ | Edgar SevikyanJoaquín Felipe González Rodríguez | ||
| 79′ | Alejandro Balboa Bandeira | ||
| 82′ | Juan Miguel LatasaRobin van Duiven | ||
| 85′ | Omar Sadik | ||
| 86′ | Iván Garriel | ||
| 87′ | Alejandro Balboa Bandeira | ||
| 89′ | Luis Rodríguez ChacónPablo Tomeo Félez | ||
| 90′ | Omar Sadik | ||
| 90′ | Carlos Hernández | ||
| 90′ | Pablo Tomeo Félez |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 242 | Accurate passes | 316 |
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid
| Probability | AD Ceuta FC | Draw | Real Valladolid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 33.9% | 32.4% |
| Market | 33.4% | 28.9% | 37.6% |
| Final | 33.5% | 30.2% | 36.3% |
| Edge | +0.3% | +5.0% | -5.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AD Ceuta FC and Real Valladolid expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
AD Ceuta FC and Real Valladolid attack and defence ratings
AD Ceuta FC
Real Valladolid
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid: result vs prediction
AD Ceuta FC 1 – 1 Real Valladolid
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Valladolid | 36.3% | 2.75 | -5.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AD Ceuta FC | 33.5% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Real Valladolid | 36.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Valladolid win | 12.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 67.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-0 | 12.6% |
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid stats
AD Ceuta FC and Real Valladolid recent form
| AD Ceuta FC |
LLLLLW |
| Real Valladolid |
LWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AD Ceuta FC and Real Valladolid going into this match
AD Ceuta FC record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Valladolid record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | AD Ceuta FC | Real Valladolid | Segunda División | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-15 | Real Valladolid | AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AD Ceuta FC vs Real Valladolid odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.4%, draw 28.9%, away 37.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.36 | 2.54 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.13 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.77 | 3.25 | 2.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 3.36 | 2.56 |
| SBO | 2.69 | 3.12 | 2.39 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .