Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 6

Cadiz vs Girona

1 – 2 Full time

35′Vladyslav Vanat
39′Javier Castro
44′Carles Pérez
45′Juan Díaz Peregrina
47′David López Silva
60′Borja VazquezEfe Ugiagbe Aghama
60′Javier OntiverosAntonio Cordero
67′Álex Moreno
69′Donny van de BeekOleksandr Pyshchur
69′Yaser AsprillaJavier González Diaz
70′Jandro Orellana
73′Jandro OrellanaDilan Zárate
73′Álvaro García PascualVladyslav Kopotun
80′Vladyslav VanatLass Kourouma
81′Javier González Diaz
82′Ibon Ignacio Sánchez OcénUrko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi
84′David López SilvaAbdul Mumin
84′Álex MorenoAlejandro Francés
85′Holmes Júnior Zamorano Muñoz
90′Sergio Arribas Prieto
90′Borja Vazquez
90′Lass Kourouma

Nuevo Mirandilla, CadizReferee: Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez

Cadiz 27%
Draw 28%
Girona 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
54 Possession % 46
2 Corners 4
13 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 1
5 Saves 5
410 Accurate passes 343

Cadiz vs Girona overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cadiz vs Girona

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCadizDrawGirona
Model28.4%27.6%43.9%
Market26.1%27.6%46.3%
Final26.7%27.6%45.7%
Edge+2.4%+0.0%-2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Girona

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.20.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cadiz ↓ / Girona → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Cadiz and Girona expected goals

Cadiz 1.20
Girona 1.53

Total expected goals: 2.72

Cadiz and Girona attack and defence ratings

Cadiz

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Girona

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cadiz vs Girona: result vs prediction

Cadiz 1 – 2 Girona

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Cadiz vs Girona markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Girona 45.7% 2.19 -2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.4% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.9% 1.79 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.2% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cadiz26.7%
Draw27.6%
Girona45.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.4%
Under 2.548.6%
Both teams to scoreYes55.9%
No44.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.3%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)73.3%
Handicap -1Girona win22.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss56.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-29.2%
0-18.8%

Cadiz vs Girona stats

Cadiz and Girona recent form

newest first
Cadiz LLDDDL
Girona LWWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cadiz and Girona going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cadiz record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Girona record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cadiz vs Girona head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

3Cadiz wins 2Draws 4Girona wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-20GironaCadizLa Liga4-1
2023-10-07CadizGironaLa Liga0-1
2023-02-10CadizGironaLa Liga2-0
2022-10-15GironaCadizLa Liga1-1
2021-01-16GironaCadizCopa del Rey2-0
2020-07-17GironaCadizSegunda División2-1
2019-09-14CadizGironaSegunda División2-0
2017-03-19GironaCadizSegunda División1-2
2016-10-09CadizGironaSegunda División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cadiz vs Girona odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.9%, draw 27.4%, away 46.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.71 3.50 2.05
Bet365 3.60 3.40 2.05
BetVictor 3.40 3.30 2.00
Betano 3.95 3.40 2.00
Betfair 3.25 3.30 2.00
Marathonbet 3.60 3.40 1.99
Pinnacle 3.81 3.45 2.08
SBO 3.22 3.05 1.96
William Hill 3.50 3.10 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.60 ▼ -0.26
X 3.40 ▼ -0.05
2 2.02 ▲ +0.05

13 snapshots recorded, from .