Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 6

Castellón vs Tenerife

5 – 0 Full time

9′Diego Barri
24′Matías Orozco
29′Ousmane Camara
45′Matías OrozcoAlvaro Martin
45′Juanjo SánchezMauro Pitton
45′Fabricio Assis de Souza BarbosaA. Krdžalić
45′Ivan ChapelaNoel López
60′Mauro Pitton
61′Adam JakobsenPablo Santiago
61′Israel Suero FernándezFrancisco Castillo
62′Pablo Santiago
65′Víctor Moreno Alcalá
69′Íñigo CórdobaRaúl Sánchez
73′Marc MateuMartin Pečar
73′Christian Pierre Louis GomisGerard Valentín
77′Ousmane Camara
78′Ousmane CamaraÁlvaro García Arana

Estadio Municipal Castalia, CastellonReferee: Salvador Lax

Castellón 57%
Draw 25%
Tenerife 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
64 Possession % 36
0 Corners 5
12 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 4
4 Saves 0
587 Accurate passes 287

Castellón vs Tenerife overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Castellón vs Tenerife

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCastellónDrawTenerife
Model35.8%33.6%30.7%
Market64.2%22.0%13.7%
Final57.1%24.9%18.0%
Edge-28.5%+11.5%+16.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Castellón

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Castellón ↓ / Tenerife → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 12% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Castellón and Tenerife expected goals

Castellón 1.05
Tenerife 0.95

Total expected goals: 1.99

Castellón and Tenerife attack and defence ratings

Castellón

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Tenerife

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Castellón vs Tenerife: result vs prediction

Castellón 5 – 0 Tenerife

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Castellón vs Tenerife markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Castellón 57.1% 1.75 -28.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.8% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 58.9% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.0% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.2% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Castellón57.1%
Draw24.9%
Tenerife18.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.2%
Under 2.567.8%
Both teams to scoreYes41.1%
No58.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.0%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)42.9%
Handicap -1Castellón win14.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss64.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.0%
1-114.9%
1-012.9%

Castellón vs Tenerife stats

Castellón and Tenerife recent form

newest first
Castellón WWWDWL
Tenerife WDLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Castellón and Tenerife going into this match

league record before kick-off

Castellón record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tenerife record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Castellón vs Tenerife head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Castellón wins 1Draws 3Tenerife wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-11TenerifeCastellónSegunda División2-0
2024-09-29CastellónTenerifeSegunda División2-1
2021-04-25TenerifeCastellónSegunda División1-1
2021-01-06CastellónTenerifeCopa del Rey0-2
2021-01-03CastellónTenerifeSegunda División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Castellón vs Tenerife odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.9%, draw 22.8%, away 14.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.49 4.47 6.86
Bet365 1.45 4.10 7.00
BetVictor 1.44 4.00 6.50
Betano 1.60 4.05 5.70
Betfair 1.50 4.00 5.00
Marathonbet 1.44 4.33 6.65
Pinnacle 1.50 4.43 6.99
SBO 1.47 3.68 5.13
William Hill 1.44 4.00 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 ▼ -0.21
X 4.21 ▲ +0.21
2 6.76 ▲ +1.37

14 snapshots recorded, from .