Segunda División · 2026-09-13T19:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Tenerife vs Leganes

2 – 0 Full time

15′			Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez
25′			Enric Gallego
28′			David Rodríguez Ramos
45′			Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezDani Rodriguez
61′			Dani Fernández
61′			Marvelous Antolín Garzón
63′			Zico BuurmeesterPatrick Soko
69′			Dani FernándezGerard Valentín
72′			Álvaro MorataÁlex Millán
72′			Ignasi MiquelRubén Pulido
74′			Enric Gallego
78′			Enric GallegoChristian Pierre Louis Gomis
78′			Fabricio Assis de Souza BarbosaA. Krdžalić
85′			Naim GarciaSuleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
90′			Víctor Moreno AlcaláMartin Pečar
90′			César Álvarez AbranteJorge Moreno San Vidal

Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de TenerifeReferee: Pablo Morales Moreno, Spain

Tenerife

44%

Draw

32%

Leganes

25%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

11	Shots	10
4	Shots on target	2
42	Possession %	58
4	Corners	4
15	Fouls	20
3	Offsides	3
2	Saves	2
274	Accurate passes	421

Tenerife vs Leganes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tenerife vs Leganes

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Tenerife	Draw	Leganes
Model	50.1%	34.3%	15.6%
Market	41.4%	31.0%	27.6%
Final	43.6%	31.9%	24.6%
Edge	+8.7%	+3.3%	-12.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Tenerife

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.14 vs 0.52.
The market prices Tenerife below the model: +8.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

80%

2+ goals

50%

3+ goals

23%

No goals

20%

Tenerife and Leganes expected goals

Tenerife

1.14

Leganes

0.52

Total expected goals: 1.66

Tenerife and Leganes attack and defence ratings

Tenerife

Attack

0.98 -2%

Defence

0.71 -29%

Leganes

Attack

0.63 -37%

Defence

0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tenerife vs Leganes: result vs prediction

Tenerife 2 – 0 Leganes

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Segunda División

Burgos v AD Ceuta FC — match page · 2026-09-11
FC Andorra vs Real Sociedad II — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Cadiz vs Las Palmas — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Girona vs Castellón · 2026-09-12
Granada vs Albacete — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Cordoba v Almeria — match page · 2026-09-12
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense · 2026-09-13
Real Valladolid v Real Oviedo — match page · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

Tenerife, previous: Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife: odds and pick
Tenerife, next: Castellón – Tenerife, 2026-09-19
Leganes, previous: Las Palmas v Leganes analysis
Leganes, next: Leganes – Granada, 2026-09-20

Tenerife vs Leganes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Tenerife	43.6%	2.30	+8.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	76.8%	1.30	—	—
Both teams to score	No	71.4%	1.40	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	75.4%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	50.0%	2.00	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Tenerife	43.6%
	Draw	31.9%
	Leganes	24.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	23.2%
	Under 2.5	76.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	28.6%
	No	71.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	75.4%
	12 (either side)	68.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	56.4%
Handicap -1	Tenerife win	22.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	27.7%
	Loss	50.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-0	20.6%
	0-0	20.2%
	2-0	12.4%

Tenerife vs Leganes stats

Tenerife and Leganes recent form

newest first

Tenerife	DLWWLW
Leganes	DWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tenerife vs Leganes head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Tenerife wins 5Draws 2Leganes wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-08-08	Leganes	Tenerife	Friendlies Clubs	0-0
2024-04-19	Tenerife	Leganes	Segunda División	0-0
2023-12-20	Leganes	Tenerife	Segunda División	1-1
2023-04-29	Tenerife	Leganes	Segunda División	1-0
2022-10-23	Leganes	Tenerife	Segunda División	2-1
2022-02-06	Tenerife	Leganes	Segunda División	0-0
2021-10-23	Leganes	Tenerife	Segunda División	1-2
2021-02-21	Leganes	Tenerife	Segunda División	1-0
2020-12-07	Tenerife	Leganes	Segunda División	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tenerife vs Leganes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 31.1%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.22	3.05	3.40
1xBet	2.31	3.10	3.48
Bet365	2.25	3.00	3.50
BetVictor	2.20	3.00	3.30
Betano	2.32	3.00	3.50
Betfair	2.20	3.00	3.25
Marathonbet	2.25	3.02	3.38
Pinnacle	2.35	3.05	3.58
SBO	2.34	2.81	2.72
Unibet	2.10	2.90	3.50
William Hill	2.20	2.88	3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▼ -0.03

X 3.00 ▼ -0.17

2 3.38 ▼ -0.10

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T08:10:02Z.