Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 6

Leganes vs Granada

3 – 2 Full time

4′Naim Garcia
6′Owen Emeka
7′Patrick Soko
16′Ignasi Miquel
29′Zico Buurmeester
38′Sergio López
45′Owen EmekaSergio Rodelas Pintor
52′Alejandro Mendez
59′Patrick SokoÁlvaro Morata
59′Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezDani Rodriguez
59′Lalo AguilarRubén Pulido
59′Ignasi MiquelFrancisco Montero
61′Diego Varela PampínÁngelo García
66′Jorge PascualPedro Alemañ Serna
66′Alejandro MendezChinaza Onouha
69′Gerard Gumbau
78′Rubén Albés Yáñez
78′José Manuel ArnáizMario Jiménez Gambín
80′Zico BuurmeesterSuleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
85′Marvelous Antolín Garzón
90′Ismael Gharbi
90′Pedro Alemañ Serna

Municipal de Butarque, LeganesReferee: German Cid Camacho

Leganes 43%
Draw 31%
Granada 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 21
12 Shots on target 7
42 Possession % 58
6 Corners 4
12 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
6 Saves 9
283 Accurate passes 412

Leganes vs Granada overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Leganes vs Granada

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLeganesDrawGranada
Model33.9%35.2%30.9%
Market46.2%29.8%24.0%
Final43.1%31.1%25.8%
Edge-12.3%+5.4%+6.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Leganes

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Leganes ↓ / Granada → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 13% 1 14% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Leganes and Granada expected goals

Leganes 0.95
Granada 0.89

Total expected goals: 1.84

Leganes and Granada attack and defence ratings

Leganes

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Granada

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Leganes vs Granada: result vs prediction

Leganes 3 – 2 Granada

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Leganes vs Granada markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Leganes 43.1% 2.32 -12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.1% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.1% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Leganes43.1%
Draw31.1%
Granada25.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.9%
Under 2.572.1%
Both teams to scoreYes37.4%
No62.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.2%
12 (either side)68.9%
X2 (draw or away)56.9%
Handicap -1Leganes win12.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss66.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.3%
1-114.8%
1-013.7%

Leganes vs Granada stats

Leganes and Granada recent form

newest first
Leganes LDWWDW
Granada DLWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Leganes and Granada going into this match

league record before kick-off

Leganes record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Granada record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Leganes vs Granada head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Leganes wins 1Draws 2Granada wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-06LeganesGranadaSegunda División1-0
2025-09-14GranadaLeganesSegunda División0-2
2023-05-27GranadaLeganesSegunda División2-0
2022-11-27LeganesGranadaSegunda División1-0
2020-06-22LeganesGranadaLa Liga0-0
2019-09-28GranadaLeganesLa Liga1-0
2017-03-04LeganesGranadaLa Liga1-0
2016-10-01GranadaLeganesLa Liga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Leganes vs Granada odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 29.8%, away 24.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.05 3.30 3.96
Bet365 2.00 3.10 4.10
BetVictor 2.00 3.10 3.70
Betano 2.05 3.20 4.00
Betfair 2.00 3.00 3.60
Marathonbet 1.99 3.20 3.84
Pinnacle 2.09 3.17 4.17
SBO 2.03 3.02 3.50
William Hill 2.00 3.00 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.03
X 3.10 ▼ -0.03
2 3.84 ▼ -0.16

14 snapshots recorded, from .