Sporting Gijon
vs
Eldense
0 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | Pablo Vázquez | ||
| 38′ | Alejandro Ibarrondo | ||
| 40′ | Justin Smith | ||
| 59′ | Roberto LópezGuillermo Macho Muñoz | ||
| 61′ | Nacho MartínMamadou Loum | ||
| 63′ | Fidel | ||
| 63′ | Juan Otero | ||
| 69′ | Nikita IosifovKonrad de la Fuente | ||
| 69′ | Andres CuencaPablo García | ||
| 70′ | Alejo SarcoAntonio Manuel Casas Marin | ||
| 73′ | Manuel NietoJavi Martínez | ||
| 73′ | David RuizIker Recio Ortega | ||
| 73′ | Carlos Guirao MoraJorge Rastrojo | ||
| 76′ | Javi Martínez | ||
| 85′ | Alex Serradell GarralagaJuan Larios López | ||
| 85′ | Álex CorrederaBruno Rubio Argüelles |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 393 | Accurate passes | 291 |
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting Gijon vs Eldense
| Probability | Sporting Gijon | Draw | Eldense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.1% | 30.6% | 20.3% |
| Market | 55.1% | 26.7% | 18.2% |
| Final | 53.6% | 27.7% | 18.7% |
| Edge | -6.0% | +3.9% | +2.1% |
Why Sporting Gijon
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting Gijon and Eldense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Sporting Gijon and Eldense attack and defence ratings
Sporting Gijon
Eldense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense: result vs prediction
Sporting Gijon 0 – 1 Eldense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Gijon | 53.6% | 1.87 | -6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Gijon | 53.6% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Eldense | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.2% |
| No | 58.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting Gijon win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 50.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 13.2% |
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense stats
Sporting Gijon and Eldense recent form
| Sporting Gijon |
LWWDWW |
| Eldense |
DLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-13 | Eldense | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División | 1-2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Sporting Gijon | Eldense | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-02 | Eldense | Sporting Gijon | Segunda División | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-27 | Sporting Gijon | Eldense | Segunda División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting Gijon vs Eldense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 26.3%, away 18.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.69 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.72 | 5.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.55 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.62 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.72 | 5.24 |
| SBO | 1.70 | 3.15 | 4.14 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 3.55 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .