Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 5

Mallorca vs Sabadell

2 – 0 Full time

8′Óscar Sanz
10′Adrian Fuentes
24′Adrian Fuentes
33′Manuel Morlanes
45′Miki CodinaJavi López-Pinto
45′Quadri LiameedJosé Luis Català
45′Ton RipollPipa
45′Óscar SanzEneko Aguilar
61′Sergi DarderPablo Torre
61′Josep CerdaZito Luvumbo
74′Aboubaka SoumahoroLuis Orejuela De La Rosa
74′Adrian LisoAntoniu Roca
74′Ángel BaenaNikolay Obolskiy
75′Martin Valjent
85′Alex SalaAntonio Sánchez

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de MallorcaReferee: Daniel Miranda Bolano, Spain

Mallorca 48%
Draw 30%
Sabadell 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 4
34 Possession % 66
3 Corners 7
9 Fouls 17
4 Saves 4
386 Accurate passes 366

Mallorca vs Sabadell overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mallorca vs Sabadell

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMallorcaDrawSabadell
Model43.0%33.0%24.0%
Market50.2%28.7%21.1%
Final48.4%29.8%21.8%
Edge-7.2%+4.2%+2.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Mallorca

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.81.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mallorca ↓ / Sabadell → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 10% 1 15% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Mallorca and Sabadell expected goals

Mallorca 1.17
Sabadell 0.81

Total expected goals: 1.98

Mallorca and Sabadell attack and defence ratings

Mallorca

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Sabadell

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mallorca vs Sabadell: result vs prediction

Mallorca 2 – 0 Sabadell

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Mallorca vs Sabadell markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mallorca 48.4% 2.07 -7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score No 60.5% 1.65 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.2% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.1% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mallorca48.4%
Draw29.8%
Sabadell21.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.7%
Under 2.568.3%
Both teams to scoreYes39.5%
No60.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.2%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)51.6%
Handicap -1Mallorca win19.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss57.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.2%
1-014.9%
1-114.4%

Mallorca vs Sabadell stats

Mallorca and Sabadell recent form

newest first
Mallorca DWLWWL
Sabadell WWDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mallorca vs Sabadell head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Mallorca wins 0Draws 1Sabadell wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-04-26SabadellMallorcaSegunda División1-0
2020-09-27MallorcaSabadellSegunda División1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mallorca vs Sabadell odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.5%, draw 28.3%, away 21.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.75 3.40 4.85
1xBet 1.92 3.44 4.38
Bet365 1.85 3.20 4.75
BetVictor 1.83 3.20 4.20
Betano 1.91 3.30 4.45
Betfair 1.80 3.10 4.50
Marathonbet 1.86 3.34 4.25
Pinnacle 1.92 3.43 4.48
SBO 1.64 3.23 4.40
Unibet 1.77 3.30 4.25
William Hill 1.85 3.20 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.02
X 3.23 ▼ -0.25
2 4.40 ▼ -0.17

14 snapshots recorded, from .