Segunda División · Full time ·Matchday 4

Eldense vs Mallorca

0 – 0 Full time

40′Martin Valjent
49′Antonio Raíllo
50′David Ruiz Montero
58′J. MartinezA. Olabarrieta
62′T. LatoA. Soumahoro
62′J. CerdaP. Torre
62′Z. LuvumboA. Liso
64′M. CarmonaM. Nieto
73′A. FuentesA. Buksa
76′J. MartinC. Guirao
77′FidelI. Recio
77′G. MachoR. Lopez
83′A. SalaG. Fernandez
90′Adrian Liso

Estadio Pepico Amat, AlicanteReferee: Pablo Morales Moreno, Spain

Eldense 26%
Draw 27%
Mallorca 47%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
44 Possession % 56
5 Corners 8
13 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
6 Saves 3
262 Accurate passes 380

Eldense vs Mallorca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Eldense vs Mallorca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEldenseDrawMallorca
Model30.4%28.1%41.5%
Market24.9%26.6%48.6%
Final26.2%26.9%46.8%
Edge+5.5%+1.6%-7.0%

Confidence: Medium

Why Mallorca

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Eldense ↓ / Mallorca → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Eldense and Mallorca expected goals

Eldense 1.22
Mallorca 1.47

Total expected goals: 2.69

Eldense and Mallorca attack and defence ratings

Eldense

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Mallorca

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Eldense vs Mallorca: result vs prediction

Eldense 0 – 0 Mallorca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Segunda División

Before and after this match

Eldense vs Mallorca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mallorca 46.8% 2.14 -7.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.4% 1.80 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Eldense26.2%
Draw26.9%
Mallorca46.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.3%
Under 2.549.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.4%
No44.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.2%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)73.8%
Handicap -1Mallorca win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-28.9%
0-18.8%

Eldense vs Mallorca stats

Eldense and Mallorca recent form

newest first
Eldense LDLLWW
Mallorca WLWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Eldense vs Mallorca head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Eldense vs Mallorca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.8%, draw 27.7%, away 46.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.45 3.30 2.08
1xBet 3.84 3.66 1.96
Bet365 3.80 3.50 1.95
BetVictor 3.60 3.40 1.91
Betano 3.65 3.30 2.12
Betfair 3.30 3.30 2.00
Dafabet 3.50 3.40 2.12
Marathonbet 3.74 3.56 1.91
Pinnacle 3.88 3.62 2.00
SBO 3.02 2.97 2.08
Superbet 3.50 3.35 2.12
Unibet 3.35 3.15 2.06
William Hill 3.60 3.30 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.77 ▲ +0.42
X 3.53 ▲ +0.23
2 1.93 ▼ -0.18

10 snapshots recorded, from .