Eibar
vs
Granada
3 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | Iván Gil | ||
| 19′ | Diego Varela Pampín | ||
| 41′ | jon guruzeta | ||
| 44′ | Malcom Ares | ||
| 45′ | Unai Elgezabal Udondo | ||
| 45′ | Pedro Alemañ SernaJorge Pascual | ||
| 45′ | Chinaza OnouhaAlejandro Mendez | ||
| 45′ | Unai Elgezabal UdondoJair Amador | ||
| 56′ | Owen EmekaSergio Rodelas Pintor | ||
| 58′ | jon guruzeta | ||
| 61′ | Alvaro RodriguezSergio Cubero | ||
| 63′ | Sergio Rodelas Pintor | ||
| 66′ | Gerard GumbauDylan Rodríguez Vellisca | ||
| 66′ | Rubén AlcarazDiego Hormigo | ||
| 70′ | Jon BautistaLucas Nuñez Ramirez | ||
| 70′ | Iván GilJavier Martón Ansó | ||
| 76′ | Jair Amador | ||
| 78′ | Malcom AresMarkel Arana Mateo | ||
| 83′ | Javier Martón Ansó | ||
| 85′ | Manuel Lama Maroto |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 226 | Accurate passes | 455 |
Eibar vs Granada overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eibar vs Granada
| Probability | Eibar | Draw | Granada |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.0% | 27.7% | 21.3% |
| Market | 45.9% | 28.2% | 25.9% |
| Final | 47.2% | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Edge | +5.1% | -0.5% | -4.5% |
Why Eibar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Eibar below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eibar and Granada expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Eibar and Granada attack and defence ratings
Eibar
Granada
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eibar vs Granada: result vs prediction
Eibar 3 – 0 Granada
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Eibar vs Granada markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eibar | 47.2% | 2.12 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eibar | 47.2% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Granada | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.6% |
| No | 50.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Eibar win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 49.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 2-0 | 10.0% |
Eibar vs Granada stats
Eibar vs Granada head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Granada | Eibar | Segunda División | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Eibar | Granada | Segunda División | 3-0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Granada | Eibar | Segunda División | 0-2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Eibar | Granada | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-30 | Granada | Eibar | Segunda División | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-12 | Eibar | Granada | Segunda División | 4-0 |
| 2021-04-22 | Granada | Eibar | La Liga | 4-1 |
| 2021-01-03 | Eibar | Granada | La Liga | 2-0 |
| 2020-06-28 | Granada | Eibar | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2019-12-20 | Eibar | Granada | La Liga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Eibar vs Granada odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.3%, draw 28.4%, away 25.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.92 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.42 | 3.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.13 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.32 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.37 | 3.75 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 2.96 | 3.61 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Unibet | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .